Market Pulse44Neutral

Zscaler, Inc.Opportunity Rank #130(ZS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$124.06

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$124.06
Price
$223.44
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 80%MOS: $178.75

Fundamental Score

68/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

64/100
Improving

+2 vs previous

Trend Score

11/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Zscaler, Inc. (ZS) is estimated at $223.44 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $124.06, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.29% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.24%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Zscaler, Inc. (ZS) is estimated at $223.44 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $124.06, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.29% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.24%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$223.44
80.11% upside
20% margin of safety: $178.75
Years: 10Growth Rate: 11.29%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-2.94%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

68/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
80.1% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
6.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -2.9% vs WACC 10.0% (-0.3x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
56.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

64/100
Improving
+2 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (72nd pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 93%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 184 (140 News · 44 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
52 regulatory scrutiny+1.0
67 news sentiment+0.4
Upgrade headlines+0.1
2 earnings beat-0.0
2 analyst upgrades+0.0
Guidance cut-0.0

Trend Details

11/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-63.1%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-56.1%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-32.9%
Price vs 21 EMA12 · -7.7%
Price vs 50 EMA6 · -12.8%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA13 · -5.5%
3M RS vs SPY0 · -32.9%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -56.1%
Distance from 52W High0 · -63.1%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
BUYConfidence: 64%
Thesis
Zscaler, Inc. is undervalued with an estimated fair value 78.7% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and an improving narrative. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's free cash flow growth and bullish fundamental scores indicate potential for significant upside.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may pressure returns and valuation if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 17.50%5 Year CAGR: 36.68%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
$1,242$1,218$975$591$412$260$131$88$32$2-$6$3

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Zscaler, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Zscaler, Inc.Technology

Globally recognized, Zscaler, Inc. functions as a leading provider of cloud-based security solutions. Its core offerings include Zscaler Internet Access (ZIA), which ensures secure connectivity for a diverse range of entities – including users, servers, operational technology (OT), and IoT devices – when accessing external resources like software-as-a-service (SaaS) applications and general internet destinations. Complementing this, the Zscaler Private Access (ZPA) solution facilitates secure entry to internal applications residing in private or public clouds and traditional data centers. Zscaler also delivers Zscaler Digital Experience (ZDX), a tool that assesses the complete user journey across various business applications. ZDX then generates a clear, digestible digital experience score for individual users, specific applications, and different locations within an organization. Furthermore, the company's portfolio extends to advanced workload segmentation solutions. This category includes Zscaler Cloud Security Posture Management (CSPM), designed to identify and correct application misconfigurations across SaaS, IaaS, and PaaS environments, thereby minimizing risk and upholding compliance standards. Another key offering is Zscaler Cloud Workload Segmentation, specifically engineered to fortify application-to-application communication within public clouds and data centers. Its objective is to thwart lateral threat propagation, safeguard applications from compromise, and ultimately mitigate the potential for data breaches. The underlying platform is built upon integral components such as the Zscaler Central Authority, Zscaler Enforcement Nodes, and Zscaler Log Servers. Serving a diverse global clientele, Zscaler caters to numerous sectors including aviation and transportation, conglomerates, consumer goods and retail, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, media and communications, public sector and education, as well as technology and telecommunications. Founded in 2007, the company initially operated as SafeChannel, Inc., before rebranding to Zscaler, Inc. in August 2008. Its corporate headquarters are located in San Jose, California.