Market Pulse46Neutral

Wolfspeed Inc.Opportunity Rank #304(WOLF) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$35.29

Last updated: Jul 13, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$35.29
Price
-$5.53
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 116%MOS: -$4.42

Fundamental Score

5/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

46/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

50/100
Neutral

As of 2026-07-10

The intrinsic value of Wolfspeed Inc. (WOLF) is estimated at $-5.53 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $35.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.57% long-term growth rate and an 11.77% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Wolfspeed Inc. (WOLF) is estimated at $-5.53 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $35.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.57% long-term growth rate and an 11.77% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$5.53
▼ -115.67% downside
20% margin of safety: -$4.42
Years: 10Growth Rate: 3.57%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-5.6%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

5/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
115.7% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
1.3% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -5.6% vs WACC 11.0% (-0.5x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
23.3x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-26.4% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

46/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (1st pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 57%Updated: 2h ago
Sources: 18 (18 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
2 legal risk-0.2
Regulatory scrutiny-0.1
15 news sentiment-0.1

Trend Details

50/100
NeutralAs of 2026-07-10196 daily bars used
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

Investment Coach

Updating... 31d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 90%
Thesis
Wolfspeed, Inc. is currently overvalued by approximately 112% with weak fundamentals, including a negative ROIC spread and high leverage, leading to returns trailing its cost of capital. Despite a stable and improving narrative score, the company's financial health and valuation metrics suggest caution.
Key Risk
The elevated net debt to free cash flow ratio of 23.3x poses significant financial risk if cash flow does not improve.
Signals To Watch
  • Watch for the stock price to decline to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Track the ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow the narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 3.57%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -36.43%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$24$565$1,554$812$487$445$201$345$359$303$323$387$498$363$337$488$419$233$159$194$229

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Wolfspeed Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Wolfspeed Inc.Technology

Wolfspeed, Inc. is an innovator of wide bandgap semiconductors, focused on silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) materials and devices for power and radiofrequency (RF) applications. Its product families include silicon carbide and GaN materials, power devices and RF devices, and its products are targeted for various applications such as electric vehicles, fast charging, 5G, renewable energy and storage, and aerospace and defense. The company was founded by Calvin H. Carter Jr., John W. Palmour, F. Neal Hunter, Eric Hunter, and John Edmond in 1987 and is headquartered in Durham, NC.