Market Pulse44Neutral

Wolfspeed, Inc.(WOLF) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$52.97

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$52.97
Price
-$5.56
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 110%MOS: -$4.45

Fundamental Score

5/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

52/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

0/100
Unavailable

Trend data unavailable

The intrinsic value of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) is estimated at $-5.56 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.97, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.57% long-term growth rate and an 11.83% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) is estimated at $-5.56 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.97, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.57% long-term growth rate and an 11.83% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$5.56
-110.50% downside
20% margin of safety: -$4.45
Years: 10Growth Rate: 3.57%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-5.6%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

5/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
110.5% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.9% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -5.6% vs WACC 11.0% (-0.5x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
23.3x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-26.4% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

52/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (6th pct)Weighted across 2 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 57%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 22 (22 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
21 news sentiment+0.2
Regulatory scrutiny-0.0

Trend Details

0/100
NeutralRules-based daily model
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 90%
Thesis
Wolfspeed, Inc. is currently overvalued by approximately 112% with weak fundamentals, including a negative ROIC spread and high leverage, leading to returns trailing its cost of capital. Despite a stable and improving narrative score, the company's financial health and valuation metrics suggest caution.
Key Risk
The elevated net debt to free cash flow ratio of 23.3x poses significant financial risk if cash flow does not improve.
Signals To Watch
  • Watch for the stock price to decline to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Track the ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow the narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 3.57%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -36.43%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$24$565$1,554$812$487$445$201$345$359$303$323$387$498$363$337$488$419$233$159$194$229

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Wolfspeed, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Wolfspeed, Inc.Technology

Wolfspeed, Inc. stands as a key innovator in wide bandgap semiconductor technology, focusing on silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN). The company engineers and produces a diverse array of advanced materials, power components, and radio frequency (RF) devices. Its materials portfolio encompasses bare and epitaxial silicon carbide wafers, alongside gallium nitride epitaxial layers grown on silicon carbide substrates. These SiC materials are provided to clients who integrate them into their own RF, power, and other product manufacturing processes. For power applications, Wolfspeed delivers an extensive selection of devices, including silicon carbide Schottky diodes, metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs), power modules, and gate driver boards. These components are essential for demanding uses such as electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure, server power supplies, solar inverters, uninterruptible power supplies (UPS), and various industrial power systems. In the RF sector, Wolfspeed's offerings include GaN-based dies, high-electron mobility transistors (HEMTs), monolithic microwave integrated circuits (MMICs), and laterally diffused MOSFET (LDMOSFET) power transistors. These are critical enablers for telecommunications infrastructure, a variety of military systems, and other commercial applications. Beyond these specific categories, Wolfspeed's technologies are fundamental to numerous industries, including transportation, rapid charging, wireless communication systems (such as 5G), motor control, renewable energy generation and storage, and aerospace and defense. Notably, its materials and RF devices play a significant role in military communications, radar systems, satellite technology, and general telecommunications. With a global presence, Wolfspeed serves clients across North America, Asia, and Europe. Founded in Durham, North Carolina, in 1987, the company operated under the name Cree, Inc. until its strategic rebranding to Wolfspeed, Inc. in October 2021.