WMT

$126.94

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 1.64% trendline growth.
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$111.71

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$89.37
-29.60% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
5.11%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
46
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
29.6% premium to price
1
FCF Yield
4.9% trailing FCF yield
72
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.1% vs WACC 10.0% (0.5x)
26
Net Debt / FCF
0.7x net debt to FCF
86
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
6.6% 5Y FCF CAGR
58
Strengths: FCF Yield, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.
Narrative Score
80
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 234 (News 200 · Analyst 34)
Drivers
165 news sentiment+6.8
30 regulatory scrutiny+1.0
3 upgrade headlines+0.3
Earnings beat+0.1
Promotions/discounting+0.0
34 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E44.2
Profit Margin3.3%
Owner Earnings$45.27b
One Dollar Premise33.00%
Debt/Equity1.93
Current Ratio0.80
PEG5.876
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$32,196$35,830$35,291$34,646$38,433$36,342$37,765$38,489$36,372$40,738$39,029$42,149$38,388$38,097$35,960$46,338$37,287$45,698$56,332$49,501
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Walmart Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Walmart Inc.Consumer Defensive

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, other units, and eCommerce worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites; and mobile commerce applications. The company offers grocery and consumables, including dairy, meat, bakery, deli, produce, dry, chilled or frozen packaged foods, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, floral, snack foods, candy, other grocery items, health and beauty aids, paper goods, laundry and home care, baby care, pet supplies, and other consumable items; fuel, tobacco and other categories. It is also involved in the provision of health and wellness products covering pharmacy, optical and hearing services, and over-the-counter drugs and other medical products; and home and apparel including home improvement, outdoor living, gardening, furniture, apparel, jewelry, tools and power equipment, housewares, toys, seasonal items, mattresses and tire and battery centers. In addition, the company offers consumer electronics and accessories, software, video games, office supplies, appliances, and third-party gift cards. Further, it operates digital payment platforms; and offers financial services and related products, including money transfers, bill payments, money orders, check cashing, prepaid access, co-branded credit cards, installment lending, and earned wage access. Additionally, the company markets lines of merchandise under private brands, including Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly. The company was formerly known as Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and changed its name to Walmart Inc. in February 2018. Walmart Inc. was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.