Market Pulse44Neutral

Wells Fargo & CompanyOpportunity Rank #247(WFC) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$83.87

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$83.87
Price
$52.36
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 38%MOS: $41.89

Fundamental Score

26/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

63/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

50/100
Neutral

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) is estimated at $52.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $83.87, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -11.54% long-term growth rate and an 8.94% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) is estimated at $52.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $83.87, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -11.54% long-term growth rate and an 8.94% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$52.36
-37.57% downside
20% margin of safety: $41.89
Years: 10Growth Rate: -11.54%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
10.1%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

26/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
37.6% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.5% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 10.1% vs WACC 11.0% (0.9x)
46
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-6.1% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

63/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (34th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 87%Updated: 7m ago
Sources: 82 (75 News · 7 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
61 news sentiment+1.0
11 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
Promotions/discounting+0.1
2 legal risk+0.0
7 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

50/100
NeutralAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-20.3%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-6.7%
Distance from 52-Week High-13.0%
Price vs 21 EMA69 · +3.3%
Price vs 50 EMA70 · +4.3%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA58 · +1.0%
3M RS vs SPY25 · -6.7%
6M RS vs SPY9 · -20.3%
Distance from 52W High74 · -13.0%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 69%
Thesis
Wells Fargo & Company is currently overvalued by approximately 34.6% with weak fundamentals and a thin free cash flow yield, despite an improving narrative score. The company's return on invested capital is below its weighted average cost of capital, indicating operational challenges.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the sustained negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may continue to pressure valuation and financial performance.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread.
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -11.54%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 561.90%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$1,179-$19,001$3,035$40,358$27,048-$11,525$2,051$6,730$36,073$18,722$1,008$15,904$17,529$57,641$58,540$13,665$18,772$28,613-$4,788$9,286$27,976

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Wells Fargo & Company's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Wells Fargo & CompanyFinancial Services

Wells Fargo & Company is a prominent global financial institution, offering a broad spectrum of services that encompass banking, investment management, mortgage lending, and various consumer and commercial finance solutions throughout the United States and internationally. Its operations are structured into four key divisions: Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending division caters to individual customers and small enterprises, providing a range of financial offerings. These include fundamental services like checking and savings accounts, credit and debit cards, and diverse loan products for homes, vehicles, personal use, and small business expansion. The Commercial Banking segment focuses on delivering financial solutions to private, family-owned, and select publicly traded companies. This involves comprehensive banking and credit services for various industries and municipal entities, alongside secured lending, leasing options, and treasury management support. For corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients, the Corporate and Investment Banking division delivers an extensive portfolio of capital markets, banking, and financial products. Key services include corporate and investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity and fixed income strategies, complemented by robust sales, trading, and research support. Finally, the Wealth and Investment Management segment specializes in offering personalized wealth management, brokerage services, financial planning, lending, private banking, and trust and fiduciary solutions. These are primarily targeted at affluent, high-net-worth, and ultra-high-net-worth individuals, often delivered through a network of financial advisors. Established in 1852, Wells Fargo & Company maintains its headquarters in San Francisco, California.