Market Pulse50Neutral

Wells Fargo & CompanyOpportunity Rank #307(WFC) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$78.29

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$78.29
Price
-$1.98
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 103%MOS: -$1.58

Fundamental Score

11/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

63/100
Improving

+9 vs previous

The intrinsic value of Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) is estimated at $-1.98 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $78.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -23.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.31% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) is estimated at $-1.98 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $78.29, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -23.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.31% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$1.98
-102.53% downside
20% margin of safety: -$1.58
Years: 10Growth Rate: -23.80%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
3.34%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

11/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
102.5% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-7.7% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 3.3% vs WACC 11.0% (0.3x)
15
Net Debt / FCF
2.4x net debt to FCF
18
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-86.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

63/100
Improving
+9 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (21st pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 91%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 100 (88 News · 12 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
54 news sentiment+0.7
33 regulatory scrutiny+0.5
Analyst upgrades+0.0
Restructuring+0.0
Analyst downgrades-0.0
10 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 13h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Wells Fargo & Company is currently overvalued with an estimated fair value significantly below its market price, supported by weak fundamentals and negative free cash flow yield. Despite an improving narrative trend, the company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating poor financial health.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the sustained negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may continue to erode shareholder value.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -23.80%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -83.20%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
-$19,001-$19,001$3,035$40,358$27,048-$11,525$2,051$6,730$36,073$18,722$1,008$15,904$17,529$57,641$58,540$13,665$18,772$28,613-$4,788$9,286$27,976

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Wells Fargo & Company's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Wells Fargo & CompanyFinancial Services

Wells Fargo & Company, a diversified financial services company, provides banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies. Its products and services include banking and credit products across various industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management services. The Corporate and Investment Banking segment offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services to corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients. Its products and services comprise corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as well as sales, trading, and research capabilities services. The Wealth and Investment Management segment provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, and trust and fiduciary products and services to affluent, high-net worth, and ultra-high-net worth clients. It also operates through financial advisors. Wells Fargo & Company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.