Vistra Corp.Opportunity Rank #43(VST) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$167.26
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
+1 vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of Vistra Corp. (VST) is estimated at $514.51 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $167.26, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.32% long-term growth rate and a 9.09% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Vistra Corp. (VST) is estimated at $514.51 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $167.26, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.32% long-term growth rate and a 9.09% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Vistra Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Vistra Corp.Utilities
Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation. The company organizes its operations across six distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It directly provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients throughout 20 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Beyond its retail endeavors, Vistra also participates in generating electricity, facilitating wholesale energy transactions, managing commodity-related risks, producing fuel, and overseeing fuel logistics. With approximately 4.3 million customers, Vistra commands an impressive generation capacity of about 38,700 megawatts. This capacity is sustained by a diverse portfolio of facilities, including those powered by natural gas, nuclear energy, coal, solar, and advanced battery energy storage systems. The enterprise, initially known as Vistra Energy Corp., adopted its current name, Vistra Corp., in July 2020. Tracing its origins back to 1882, Vistra Corp. maintains its corporate headquarters in Irving, Texas.