Varonis Systems, Inc.Opportunity Rank #178(VRNS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$32.71
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) is estimated at $31.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $32.71, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 10.70% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.66%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) is estimated at $31.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $32.71, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 10.70% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.66%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Varonis Systems, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Varonis Systems, Inc.Technology
Varonis Systems, Inc. specializes in delivering software solutions and associated services designed to help large organizations oversee, analyze, identify threats in, and protect their critical digital information across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and other international markets. Their technology safeguards sensitive data, whether stored on-premises or in cloud environments, encompassing proprietary files and communications, private customer, patient, and employee information, financial documents, strategic plans, product roadmaps, and other intellectual assets. Among their offerings, DatAdvantage meticulously tracks, consolidates, standardizes, and evaluates every instance of data access by users across a wide array of platforms, such as Windows and UNIX/Linux servers, storage systems, email platforms, internal networks, cloud applications, and data repositories. Complementing this, DatAlert establishes profiles for users, devices, and their behaviors regarding systems and data. It is engineered to detect and issue warnings about unusual activities that could signal a breach, presenting this information via an intuitive web-based control panel for investigations. The Data Classification Engine is another key component, enabling the identification and categorization of data using predefined metadata criteria, supplying actionable insights to both business and IT teams. Furthermore, DataPrivilege simplifies data access management; it provides a self-service web portal where employees can request access to necessary data for their roles, and data owners can approve these requests directly, reducing the need for IT department involvement. Varonis also offers the Data Transport Engine, an execution platform that streamlines the management of data and metadata, converting strategic business decisions and directives into technical actions like data migration or archiving. Lastly, DatAnswers facilitates comprehensive search capabilities across an organization's entire digital data landscape. Varonis Systems, Inc. distributes its products and services through a robust network of authorized distributors and resellers. Their clientele primarily consists of IT professionals, security teams, and business leadership. Established in 2004, the company maintains its headquarters in New York, New York.