Market Pulse53Neutral

Veracyte, Inc.(VCYT) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Healthcare

Current Price

$57.88

Last updated: Jul 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$57.88
Price
$53.09
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 8%MOS: $42.47

Fundamental Score

56/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

57/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

0/100
Unavailable

Trend data unavailable

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The intrinsic value of Veracyte, Inc. (VCYT) is estimated at $53.09 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $57.88, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.38% long-term growth rate and an 11.86% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Veracyte, Inc. (VCYT) is estimated at $53.09 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $57.88, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.38% long-term growth rate and an 11.86% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$53.09
-8.28% downside
20% margin of safety: $42.47
Years: 10Growth Rate: 14.38%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.42%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

56/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
8.3% premium to price
36
FCF Yield
3.8% trailing FCF yield
46
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.4% vs WACC 7.0% (0.3x)
17
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
184.2% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

57/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (77th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 86%Updated: 1d ago
Sources: 35 (27 News · 8 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
4 regulatory scrutiny+0.7
Earnings beat-0.5
20 news sentiment+0.3
Upgrade headlines+0.1
Downgrade headlines+0.0
8 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

0/100
NeutralRules-based daily model
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 16.08%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 189.90%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011
$178$146$86$54$16-$26-$70$-$12-$22-$24-$21-$26-$18-$6-$13

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Veracyte, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Veracyte, Inc.Healthcare

Veracyte, Inc. operates as a diagnostics company in the United States and internationally. The company offers Afirma Genomic Sequencing Classifier for cancerous thyroid nodules; Decipher Prostate Genomic Classifiers for prostate cancer diagnosis; Decipher Bladder Genomic Classifier for bladder cancer diagnosis; Prosigna Breast Cancer Assay for breast cancer diagnosis; and Percepta Nasal Swab Test for lung cancer diagnosis. It also provides the nCounter analysis system services. The company was formerly known as Calderome, Inc. and changed its name to Veracyte, Inc. in March 2008. Veracyte, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.