Market Pulse44Neutral

Uranium Energy Corp.Opportunity Rank #324(UEC) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$11.47

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$11.47
Price
$0.71
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 94%MOS: $0.57

Fundamental Score

3/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

56/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

11/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) is estimated at $0.71 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $11.47, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -39.06% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.46%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) is estimated at $0.71 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $11.47, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -39.06% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.46%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$0.71
▼ -93.81% downside
20% margin of safety: $0.57
Years: 10Growth Rate: -39.06%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-2.94%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

3/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
93.8% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-1.9% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -2.9% vs WACC 7.0% (-0.4x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
4.6x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-59.8% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

56/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (79th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 84%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 39 (37 News · 2 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
32 news sentiment+0.7
Earnings miss-0.2
4 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
2 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

11/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-19.9%
Price vs 50 EMA-13.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA-6.6%
Price vs 21 EMA14 · -7.0%
Price vs 50 EMA6 · -13.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA9 · -6.6%
3M RS vs SPY4 · -19.9%
6M RS vs SPY22 · -11.3%
Distance from 52W High14 · -43.0%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Uranium Energy Corp. is significantly overvalued with a current price nearly 92% above its estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and negative free cash flow yield. The company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating poor capital efficiency and deteriorating financial health.
Key Risk
Continued deterioration in fundamentals and negative returns relative to cost of capital could further depress valuation and investor confidence.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score and trend
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -39.06%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -56.81%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
-$107-$59-$103$73-$52-$41-$13-$12-$9-$10-$13-$12-$21-$19-$14-$22-$5-$10-$11-$6-$6

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Uranium Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Uranium Energy Corp.Energy

Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) and its subsidiaries are involved in every stage of the uranium and titanium concentrate production cycle, from initial exploration and preparatory work to extraction and final processing. These activities take place across the United States, Canada, and Paraguay. The company possesses ownership interests in various projects, including the Palangana mine, along with the Goliad, Burke Hollow, Longhorn, and Salvo projects, all located in Texas. Additional U.S. holdings comprise the Anderson, Workman Creek, and Los Cuatros projects in Arizona; the Slick Rock project in Colorado; and the Reno Creek project in Wyoming. Internationally, UEC operates the Diabase project in Canada and manages titanium-focused initiatives such as Yuty, Oviedo, and Alto Paraná in Paraguay. Established in 2003 under its previous name, Carlin Gold Inc., the company rebranded as Uranium Energy Corp. in January 2005 and maintains its principal offices in Corpus Christi, Texas.