Market Pulse59Neutral

Uranium Energy Corp.Opportunity Rank #299(UEC) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$15.59

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$15.59
Price
$0.71
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 95%MOS: $0.57

Fundamental Score

3/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

51/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

54/100
Neutral

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) is estimated at $0.71 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $15.59, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -39.30% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.56%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) is estimated at $0.71 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $15.59, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -39.30% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.56%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$0.71
▼ -95.45% downside
20% margin of safety: $0.57
Years: 10Growth Rate: -39.30%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-2.54%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

3/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
95.4% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-1.5% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -2.5% vs WACC 7.0% (-0.4x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
4.4x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-60.2% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

51/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (6th pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 62%Updated: 16h ago
Sources: 17 (15 News · 2 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
12 news sentiment+0.1
3 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
2 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

54/100
NeutralAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-12.8%
Price vs 50 EMA+4.4%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+7.1%
Price vs 21 EMA68 · +3.1%
Price vs 50 EMA70 · +4.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA60 · +1.3%
3M RS vs SPY11 · -12.8%
6M RS vs SPY69 · +7.1%
Distance from 52W High51 · -24.7%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Uranium Energy Corp. is significantly overvalued with its current price nearly 95% above the estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and negative free cash flow yield. The company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating poor capital efficiency and financial health.
Key Risk
The key risk is that the company's poor return on invested capital relative to its weighted average cost of capital may persist or worsen, further eroding shareholder value.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the company's narrative and fundamental score
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -39.30%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -57.39%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
-$111-$59-$103$73-$52-$41-$13-$12-$9-$10-$13-$12-$21-$19-$14-$22-$5-$10-$11-$6-$6

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Uranium Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Uranium Energy Corp.Energy

Uranium Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in exploration, pre-extraction, extraction, and processing uranium and titanium concentrates in the United States, Canada, and Paraguay. It owns interests in the Palangana mine, Goliad, Burke Hollow, Longhorn, and Salvo projects located in Texas; Anderson, Workman Creek, and Los Cuatros projects situated in Arizona; Slick Rock project in Colorado; Reno Creek project in Wyoming; Diabase project located in Canada; and Yuty, Oviedo, and Alto Paraná titanium projects in Paraguay. The company was formerly known as Carlin Gold Inc. and changed its name to Uranium Energy Corp. in January 2005. Uranium Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Corpus Christi, Texas.