Market Pulse59Neutral

Uber Technologies, Inc.Opportunity Rank #28(UBER) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$76.73

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$76.73
Price
$118.93
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 55%MOS: $95.14

Fundamental Score

82/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

39/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) is estimated at $118.93 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $76.73, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.48% long-term growth rate and an 8.98% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) is estimated at $118.93 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $76.73, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.48% long-term growth rate and an 8.98% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$118.93
55.00% upside
20% margin of safety: $95.14
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.48%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
7.75%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

82/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
55.0% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
6.6% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 7.8% vs WACC 9.0% (0.9x)
43
Net Debt / FCF
0.8x net debt to FCF
85
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
560.6% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (62nd pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 16h ago
Sources: 215 (200 News · 15 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
161 news sentiment+9.8
30 regulatory scrutiny+1.1
2 earnings beat+0.9
3 upgrade headlines+0.3
2 legal risk-0.3
Earnings miss-0.2

Trend Details

39/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-27.5%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-5.9%
Price vs 21 EMA+0.5%
Price vs 21 EMA53 · +0.5%
Price vs 50 EMA52 · +0.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA49 · -0.1%
3M RS vs SPY27 · -5.9%
6M RS vs SPY4 · -27.5%
Distance from 52W High51 · -24.6%

Investment Coach

Updated 13h ago
BUYConfidence: 69%
Thesis
Uber Technologies, Inc. is undervalued with an estimated fair value 60.8% above the current price, supported by strong fundamentals and an improving narrative. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company shows robust free cash flow growth and effective buybacks.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may pressure returns and valuation if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 30.69%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 538.37%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
$10,453$10,435$7,379$3,808$894-$147-$2,129-$3,733-$983-$589-$1,278

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Uber Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Uber Technologies, Inc.Technology

Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It connects consumers with independent providers of ride services for ridesharing services; and connects riders and other consumers with restaurants, grocers, and other stores with delivery service providers for meal preparation, grocery, and other delivery services. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment provides products that connect consumers with mobility drivers who provide rides in a range of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. It also offers financial partnerships, transit, and vehicle solutions offerings. The Delivery segment allows consumers to search for and discover local restaurants, order a meal, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have the meal delivered; and offers grocery, alcohol, and convenience store delivery, as well as select other goods. The Freight segment connects carriers with shippers on the company's platform and enable carriers upfront, transparent pricing, and the ability to book a shipment, as well as transportation management and other logistics services offerings. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.