The TJX Companies, Inc.Opportunity Rank #147(TJX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$156.50
Last updated: Mar 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
The intrinsic value of The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is estimated at $143.84 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $156.50, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.92% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.61%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is estimated at $143.84 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $156.50, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 4.92% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.61%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- ROIC remains above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters.
- Narrative trend shows meaningful improvement or further deterioration.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates The TJX Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
The TJX Companies, Inc.Consumer Cyclical
The TJX Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer. It operates through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The company sells family apparel, including footwear and accessories; home fashions, such as home basics, furniture, rugs, lighting products, giftware, soft home products, decorative accessories, tabletop, and cookware, as well as expanded pet, kids, and gourmet food departments; jewelry and accessories; and other merchandise. As of February 23, 2022, it operated 1,284 T.J. Maxx, 1,148 Marshalls, 850 HomeGoods, 59 Sierra, and 39 Homesense stores, as well as tjmaxx.com, marshalls.com, and sierra.com in the United States; 293 Winners, 147 HomeSense, and 106 Marshalls stores in Canada; 618 T.K. Maxx and 77 Homesense stores, as well as tkmaxx.com in Europe; and 68 T.K. Maxx stores in Australia. The company was incorporated in 1962 and is headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts.