The TJX Companies, Inc.Opportunity Rank #116(TJX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$154.39
Last updated: Jul 20, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
+1 vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-07-17
The intrinsic value of The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is estimated at $171.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $154.39, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.03% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.72%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is estimated at $171.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $154.39, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.03% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.72%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- ROIC remains above the cost of capital over the coming quarters.
- Monitor narrative score for meaningful shifts in direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates The TJX Companies, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
The TJX Companies, Inc.Consumer Cyclical
The TJX Companies, Inc., alongside its various associated businesses, functions as a major discount retailer focusing on clothing and household decor. Its operations are organized into four primary divisions: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The enterprise markets an extensive selection of goods, including clothing for all family members (such as shoes and complementary items); a broad array of home furnishings and accessories (ranging from essential household goods, furniture, floor coverings, and lighting fixtures to gift items, soft textiles, decorative pieces, dining wares, and kitchen utensils), alongside growing departments for pet supplies, children's products, and gourmet foodstuffs. Jewelry, additional accessories, and various general merchandise are also available. By the close of February 23, 2022, TJX maintained a considerable retail network across several continents. In the United States, this footprint included 1,284 T.J. Maxx, 1,148 Marshalls, 850 HomeGoods, 59 Sierra, and 39 Homesense physical stores, complemented by online portals like tjmaxx.com, marshalls.com, and sierra.com. Its Canadian presence featured 293 Winners, 147 HomeSense, and 106 Marshalls outlets. European consumers could visit 618 T.K. Maxx and 77 Homesense locations, with an e-commerce option at tkmaxx.com. Furthermore, Australia hosted 68 T.K. Maxx establishments. Established in 1962, the firm's corporate headquarters are located in Framingham, Massachusetts.