TGT

$110.85

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 1.99% trendline growth.
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$374.80

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$299.84
170.49% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
3.78%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
53
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
170.5% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
20.9% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 3.8% vs WACC 11.0% (0.3x)
17
Net Debt / FCF
1.2x net debt to FCF
54
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
0.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.
Narrative Score
81
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 222 (News 200 · Analyst 22)
Drivers
155 news sentiment+3.4
7 upgrade headlines+0.5
35 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
Analyst upgrades+0.1
Downgrade headlines+0.0
Restructuring+0.0
Other Metrics
P/E13.4
Profit Margin3.6%
Owner Earnings$10.63b
One Dollar Premise55.00%
Debt/Equity2.83
Current Ratio0.96
PEG-3.390
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$7,839$8,790$8,494$7,977$7,610$7,400$9,802$8,602$9,973$6,225$7,282$6,983$9,456$9,489$10,144$13,174$12,169$9,546$13,427$10,539
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Target Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Target CorporationConsumer Defensive

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. The company offers food assortments, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items; apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, toys, seasonal offerings, food, and other merchandise; and beauty and household essentials. It also provides in-store amenities, such as Target Café, Target Optical, Starbucks, and other food service offerings. The company sells its products through its stores; and digital channels, including Target.com. As of March 09, 2022, the company operated approximately 2,000 stores. Target Corporation was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.