Market Pulse44Neutral

Sysco CorporationOpportunity Rank #152(SYY) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$81.69

Last updated: Jul 20, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$81.69
Price
$93.19
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 14%MOS: $74.55

Fundamental Score

52/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

53/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

61/100
Constructive

As of 2026-07-17

The intrinsic value of Sysco Corporation (SYY) is estimated at $93.19 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $81.69, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.02% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.05%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Sysco Corporation (SYY) is estimated at $93.19 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $81.69, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.02% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.05%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$93.19
▲ 14.08% upside
20% margin of safety: $74.55
Years: 10Growth Rate: 3.02%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
3.87%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

52/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
14.1% discount to price
73
FCF Yield
9.4% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 3.9% vs WACC 11.0% (0.4x)
18
Net Debt / FCF
3.3x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
9.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
72
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

53/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (25th pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 68%Updated: 2d ago
Sources: 21 (18 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
13 news sentiment+0.2
5 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

61/100
ConstructiveAs of 2026-07-17310 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-10.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+2.4%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+4.4%
Price vs 21 EMA50 · -0.0%
Price vs 50 EMA62 · +2.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA69 · +2.4%
3M RS vs SPY68 · +4.4%
6M RS vs SPY45 · -1.7%
Distance from 52W High79 · -10.4%

Investment Coach

Updating... 39d ago
WATCHConfidence: 41%
Thesis
Sysco Corporation's valuation suggests a 19.6% upside with a healthy free cash flow yield of 9.8%, indicating potential value for investors. However, returns currently trail the estimated cost of capital, reflecting some fundamental challenges.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's return on invested capital significantly underperforming its weighted average cost of capital, which may pressure valuation and returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 3.02%5 Year CAGR: 9.09%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$3,668$3,593$3,821$3,661$2,424$2,375$2,339$3,104$2,843$2,919$2,516$2,098$2,016$2,023$2,189$1,728$1,480$2,041$2,112$2,006$1,643

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Sysco Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Sysco CorporationConsumer Defensive

Sysco Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of various food and related products to the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, and internationally. It operates through U.S. Foodservice Operations, International Foodservice Operations, SYGMA, and Other segments. The company distributes frozen food, such as meat, seafood, fully prepared entrées, fruits, vegetables, and desserts; canned and dry food products; fresh meat and seafood products; dairy products; beverages; imported specialties; and fresh produce products. It also supplies various non-food items, including paper products comprising disposable napkins, plates, and cups; tableware consisting of glassware and silverware; cookware, such as pots, pans, and utensils; restaurant and kitchen equipment and supplies; and cleaning supplies. It serves restaurants, hospitals and nursing facilities, schools and colleges, hotels and motels, industrial caterers, and other foodservice venues. Sysco Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.