STZ

$165.57

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 6.41% trendline growth.
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$834.61

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$667.69
303.27% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
2.12%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
51
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
303.3% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
12.6% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.1% vs WACC 10.0% (0.2x)
11
Net Debt / FCF
2.9x net debt to FCF
3
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
2.1% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.
Narrative Score
61
Improving
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 days+1 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: High (94th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 91%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 81 (News 70 · Analyst 11)
Drivers
52 news sentiment+0.7
10 regulatory scrutiny+0.5
Restructuring-0.1
3 earnings beat+0.0
3 downgrade headlines-0.0
Macro headwinds+0.0
Other Metrics
P/E26.0
Profit Margin11.8%
Owner Earnings$2.46b
One Dollar Premise80.00%
Debt/Equity1.93
Current Ratio1.07
PEG-3.435
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$568$505$664$636$510$708$853$618$1,050$1,800$2,305$2,603$2,989$3,133$3,278$3,671$3,732$3,792$4,049$3,640
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Constellation Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Constellation Brands, Inc.Consumer Defensive

Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It provides beer primarily under the Corona Extra, Corona Premier, Corona Familiar, Corona Light, Corona Refresca, Corona Hard Seltzer, Modelo Especial, Modelo Negra, Modelo Chelada, Pacifico, and Victoria brands. The company offers wine under the 7 Moons, Cook's California Champagne, Cooper & Thief, Crafters Union, Kim Crawford, Meiomi, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, SIMI, The Dreaming Tree, Charles Smith, The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi, My Favorite Neighbor, and Schrader; and spirits under the Casa Noble, Copper & Kings, High West, Mi CAMPO, Nelson's Green Brier, and SVEDKA brands. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, on-premise locations, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Victor, New York.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.