Market Pulse59Neutral

SoundHound AI, Inc.Opportunity Rank #290(SOUN) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$9.63

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$9.63
Price
$0.00
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 100%MOS: $0.00

Fundamental Score

5/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

61/100
Improving

-3 vs previous

Trend Score

56/100
Constructive

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN) is estimated at $0.00 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $9.63, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -54.80% long-term growth rate and a 12.15% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN) is estimated at $0.00 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $9.63, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -54.80% long-term growth rate and a 12.15% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$0.00
▼ -100.00% downside
20% margin of safety: $0.00
Years: 10Growth Rate: -54.80%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-30.78%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

5/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
100.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-2.5% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -30.8% vs WACC 8.0% (-3.8x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
2.4x net debt to FCF
17
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-55.5% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

61/100
Improving
-3 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Low (19th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 100%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 125 (122 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
115 news sentiment+1.0
2 upgrade headlines+0.6
Earnings miss-0.6
4 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

56/100
ConstructiveAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-58.5%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-52.4%
Price vs 50 EMA+8.9%
Price vs 21 EMA81 · +6.1%
Price vs 50 EMA85 · +8.9%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA71 · +2.7%
3M RS vs SPY37 · -3.1%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -52.4%
Distance from 52W High0 · -58.5%

Investment Coach

Updated 19h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
SoundHound AI, Inc. is currently overvalued with an estimated fair value 100% below its current price, reflecting weak fundamentals and negative free cash flow yield. The company's returns are significantly trailing its cost of capital, indicating poor capital efficiency and deteriorating business prospects.
Key Risk
Continued deterioration in return on invested capital relative to the weighted average cost of capital could further impair shareholder value.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative trend and score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -54.80%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -51.18%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
-$101-$196-$108-$68-$93-$66-$44-$41

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates SoundHound AI, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

SoundHound AI, Inc.Technology

SoundHound AI, Inc. develops independent voice artificial intelligence (AI) platform that enables businesses across industries to deliver high-quality conversational experiences to their customers. Its products include Houndify platform that offers a suite of Houndify tools to help brands build conversational voice assistants, such as automatic speech recognition, natural language understanding, wake words, custom domains, text-to-speech, and embedded voice solutions The company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN) Intrinsic Value & DCF (2026) | Intrinziq