Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.(RRGB) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$6.99
Last updated: Jul 13, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
Trend data unavailable
The intrinsic value of Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) is estimated at $-7.89 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $6.99, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -7.35% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.49%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) is estimated at $-7.89 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $6.99, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -7.35% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.49%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.Consumer Cyclical
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, is involved in the development, operation, and franchising of casual and full-service restaurant concepts. Its establishments are renowned for their signature gourmet burgers and pizzas designed for sharing. Beyond these core offerings, the menu presents a wide array of selections, including appetizers (such as wings), fresh salads, hearty soups, substantial sandwiches, seafood dishes, and various other entrees. To complete the dining experience, patrons can also choose from desserts, creamy milkshakes, and an extensive beverage list encompassing specialty alcoholic drinks (like cocktails, wine, and beer) and non-alcoholic options. As of December 26, 2021, the company managed a portfolio of roughly 531 Red Robin dining locations; 430 of these were directly managed by the corporation, while 101 were run by independent franchisees across the United States and a single province in Canada. Established in 1969, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Greenwood Village, Colorado.