Market Pulse50Neutral

QXO, Inc.Opportunity Rank #188(QXO) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$20.30

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$20.30
Price
$856.12
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 4117%MOS: $684.90

Fundamental Score

49/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

56/100
Improving

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of QXO, Inc. (QXO) is estimated at $856.12 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $20.30, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.12% long-term growth rate and a 10.20% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of QXO, Inc. (QXO) is estimated at $856.12 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $20.30, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.12% long-term growth rate and a 10.20% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$856.12
4117.34% upside
20% margin of safety: $684.90
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.12%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-0.49%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

49/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
4117.3% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
2.4% trailing FCF yield
9
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -0.5% vs WACC 8.0% (-0.1x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
4.2x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
183.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, Buybacks. Concerns: FCF Yield, ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

56/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (41st pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 67%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 20 (18 News · 2 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
10 news sentiment+0.3
7 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
Upgrade headlines+0.0
2 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 15h ago
WATCHConfidence: 43%
Thesis
QXO, Inc. is currently trading at a significant discount with an estimated fair value over 4400% above its current price, indicating substantial upside potential. However, the company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, reflecting underlying operational challenges.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may continue to pressure returns and valuation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 9.12%5 Year CAGR: 297.83%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$340$340$85$1$2$0$20$$2$3$2$0$1$1$0$10$0$$00$-$1

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates QXO, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

QXO, Inc.Industrials

QXO, Inc. distributes roofing, waterproofing, and other building products in the United States. It offers asphalt, metal roofing, wood roofing, tile roofing, slate roofing, roofing accessories, and roofing insulation products; vinyl siding, aluminum siding, steel siding, fiber cement siding, wood and composite siding, trim and accessories, and gutters and accessories; built-up roofing, modified roofing, EPDM roofing, PVC roofing, and low-slope metal roofing; as well as air and vapor barriers, fluid-applied products, repair and protection solutions, and membrane waterproofing products. The company also provides building materials and supplies, such as exterior materials, interior materials, and tools and equipment; and roof hatches and other tri-built building products. It serves contractors, distributors, and suppliers to streamline operations. QXO, Inc. was formerly known as SilverSun Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to QXO, Inc. in June 2024. The company is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.