Market Pulse59Neutral

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.Opportunity Rank #178(PLAY) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$10.47

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$10.47
Price
$282.06
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 2594%MOS: $225.65

Fundamental Score

61/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

47/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

7/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is estimated at $282.06 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $10.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.79% long-term growth rate and a 10.32% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is estimated at $282.06 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $10.47, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.79% long-term growth rate and a 10.32% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$282.06
▲ 2593.98% upside
20% margin of safety: $225.65
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.79%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
0.91%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

61/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
2594.0% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
187.6% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 0.9% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
4
Net Debt / FCF
2.2x net debt to FCF
24
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
82.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

47/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (11th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 66%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 21 (20 News · 1 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
17 news sentiment-0.3
Upgrade headlines+0.0
Regulatory scrutiny+0.0
Product recall+0.0
Analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

7/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-70.2%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-53.3%
Price vs 50 EMA-19.9%
Price vs 21 EMA4 · -12.1%
Price vs 50 EMA1 · -19.9%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA4 · -8.9%
3M RS vs SPY0 · -53.3%
6M RS vs SPY2 · -36.7%
Distance from 52W High0 · -70.2%

Investment Coach

Updated 18h ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value over 2600% above the current price, supported by strong free cash flow yield and constructive fundamentals. Despite trailing returns relative to cost of capital, the company's healthy FCF growth and valuation discount present a compelling buy opportunity.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the sustained negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may indicate ongoing challenges in generating returns above the company's cost of capital.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.79%5 Year CAGR: 82.40%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010
$682$843$694$679$375$34$517$554$485$412$350$216$216$161$146$72$107

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.Communication Services

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. owns and operates entertainment and dining venues for adults and families in North America. Its venues offer a menu of entrées and appetizers, as well as a selection of non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages; and an assortment of entertainment attractions centered on playing games and watching live sports, and other televised events. The company operates its venues under the Dave & Buster's name. As of January 30, 2022, it owned and operated 144 stores located in 40 states, Puerto Rico, and one Canadian Province. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Coppell, Texas.