Market Pulse57Neutral

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.Opportunity Rank #181(PLAY) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$9.54

Last updated: Jul 15, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$9.54
Price
$259.85
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 2624%MOS: $207.88

Fundamental Score

61/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

46/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

9/100
Weak

As of 2026-07-14

The intrinsic value of Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is estimated at $259.85 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $9.54, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.74% long-term growth rate and a 10.44% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is estimated at $259.85 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $9.54, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.74% long-term growth rate and a 10.44% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$259.85
▲ 2623.79% upside
20% margin of safety: $207.88
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.74%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
0.67%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

61/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
2623.8% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
196.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 0.7% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
3
Net Debt / FCF
2.3x net debt to FCF
22
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
80.7% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

46/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (19th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 83%Updated: 13h ago
Sources: 38 (35 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
28 news sentiment-0.2
4 earnings miss-0.2
Analyst downgrades-0.0
Margin pressure-0.0
Earnings beat-0.0
Product recall+0.0

Trend Details

9/100
WeakAs of 2026-07-14309 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-72.1%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-53.2%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-34.2%
Price vs 21 EMA3 · -12.7%
Price vs 50 EMA2 · -17.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA15 · -5.0%
3M RS vs SPY0 · -34.2%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -53.2%
Distance from 52W High0 · -72.1%

Investment Coach

Updating... 34d ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value over 2300% above its current price, supported by strong free cash flow yield and constructive fundamentals. Despite trailing returns relative to cost of capital, the company's healthy free cash flow growth and stable narrative suggest potential for substantial upside.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's return on invested capital (ROIC) significantly trailing its weighted average cost of capital (WACC), indicating potential value destruction if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.74%5 Year CAGR: 80.69%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010
$651$843$694$679$375$34$517$554$485$412$350$216$216$161$146$72$107

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.Technology

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. oversees and manages hospitality and amusement establishments designed for both adults and families throughout North America. These locations present guests with a varied menu featuring main courses and appetizers, complemented by a selection of both alcoholic and non-alcoholic drinks. Furthermore, they boast an array of entertainment offerings, centered around video games, live sports broadcasts, and other televised events. The company exclusively operates these venues under the well-known Dave & Buster's brand. As of January 30, 2022, its portfolio included 144 individual sites spread across 40 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and one Canadian province. Founded in 1982, the firm's corporate headquarters are situated in Coppell, Texas.