PDD

$101.52

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 10.00% trendline growth.
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$1,203.81

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$963.05
▲ 848.63% upside
Fundamental Score
81
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
848.6% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
11.5% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC vs WACC unavailable
50
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
50.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: Buybacks.
Narrative Score
59
Weak
Weighted across 4 recent drivers · Last 30 days-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline: High (89th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 87%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 40 (News 38 · Analyst 2)
Drivers
10 regulatory scrutiny+0.6
24 news sentiment+0.4
4 legal risk-0.1
2 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E1.4
Profit Margin24.4%
Owner Earnings$14.95b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity0.59
Current Ratio2.30
PEG2.323
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
201620172018201920202021202220232024
$127$47$1,123$2,140$4,069$4,621$1,105$13,653$16,331
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates PDD Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

PDD Holdings Inc.Consumer Cyclical

PDD Holdings Inc., a multinational commerce group, owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. It operates Pinduoduo, an e-commerce platform that offers products in various categories, including agricultural produce, apparel, shoes, bags, mother and childcare products, food and beverage, electronic appliances, furniture and household goods, cosmetics and other personal care, sports and fitness items and auto accessories; and Temu, an online marketplace. It focuses on bringing businesses and people into the digital economy. The company was formerly known as Pinduoduo Inc. and changed its name to PDD Holdings Inc. in February 2023. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.