ORLY

$92.86

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 5.99% trendline growth.
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$128.28

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$102.62
10.51% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
13.78%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
65
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
10.5% discount to price
68
FCF Yield
5.0% trailing FCF yield
75
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 13.8% vs WACC 7.0% (2.0x)
98
Net Debt / FCF
2.1x net debt to FCF
27
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
3.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
25
Strengths: FCF Yield, ROIC vs WACC. Concerns: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y).
Narrative Score
43
Weak
Weighted across 5 recent drivers · Last 30 days-7 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline: Low (0th pct)
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 100%Updated: 2h ago
Sources: 49 (News 41 · Analyst 8)
Drivers
Margin pressure-0.6
Earnings miss+0.3
23 regulatory scrutiny-0.3
16 news sentiment-0.1
8 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E30.9
Profit Margin14.3%
Owner Earnings$4.22b
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity-16.05
Current Ratio0.74
PEG9.952
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$415$582$640$700$1,069$1,447$1,552$1,304$1,620$1,760$1,987$1,870$2,232$2,337$3,302$3,650$3,712$4,040$4,073$3,931
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting products, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, including floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools, and professional service provider service equipment. The company's stores also provide enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter, and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; and professional paint shop mixing and related materials. Its stores offer do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated 5,759 stores in the United States, and 25 stores in Mexico. O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.