Market Pulse50Neutral

Opendoor Technologies Inc.Opportunity Rank #105(OPEN) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Real Estate

Current Price

$5.21

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$5.21
Price
$23.19
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 345%MOS: $18.55

Fundamental Score

62/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

56/100
Improving

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) is estimated at $23.19 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $5.21, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.43% long-term growth rate and a 14.72% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) is estimated at $23.19 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $5.21, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.43% long-term growth rate and a 14.72% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$23.19
▲ 345.11% upside
20% margin of safety: $18.55
Years: 10Growth Rate: 14.43%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-90.45%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

62/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
345.1% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
26.6% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -90.4% vs WACC 11.0% (-8.2x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
8.7% 5Y FCF CAGR
69
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

56/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (67th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 77%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 65 (65 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
62 news sentiment+0.7
Regulatory scrutiny-0.2
Earnings beat-0.0
Upgrade headlines-0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 17h ago
BUYConfidence: 57%
Thesis
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 359.7% above its current price, supported by healthy free cash flow yield and constructive fundamentals. The company's improving narrative and strong free cash flow growth further bolster its upside potential.
Key Risk
The company's returns are currently trailing its estimated cost of capital, indicating potential challenges in generating sufficient economic profit.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): 263.31%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 484.51%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
$1,061$1,061-$570$2,381$767-$5,761$699-$244-$1,160-$216

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Opendoor Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Opendoor Technologies Inc.Real Estate

Opendoor Technologies Inc. operates a digital platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company's platform enables consumers to buy and sell a home online. It also provides title insurance and escrow services. Opendoor Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.