Market Pulse50Neutral

Nextpower Inc.Opportunity Rank #182(NXT) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$116.91

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$116.91
Price
$86.92
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 26%MOS: $69.54

Fundamental Score

61/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

55/100
Improving

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Nextpower Inc. (NXT) is estimated at $86.92 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $116.91, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 12.17% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Nextpower Inc. (NXT) is estimated at $86.92 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $116.91, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 12.17% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$86.92
▼ -25.65% downside
20% margin of safety: $69.54
Years: 10Growth Rate: 12.17%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
14.08%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

61/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
25.7% premium to price
7
FCF Yield
3.9% trailing FCF yield
47
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 14.1% vs WACC 9.0% (1.6x)
78
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
22.6% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

55/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (9th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 85%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 47 (38 News · 9 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
11 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
25 news sentiment+0.2
Earnings beat+0.0
Upgrade headlines+0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0
8 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 17h ago
WATCHConfidence: 43%
Thesis
Nextpower Inc. is currently trading at a significant premium to its estimated fair value despite a strong ROIC exceeding its cost of capital by over 5 percentage points and a solid balance sheet with net cash. The fundamentals remain constructive with a neutral score and stable narrative trend, suggesting cautious monitoring is warranted.
Key Risk
The key risk is that the stock price may not correct to a more reasonable discount to fair value, potentially leading to overvaluation losses.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • ROIC remains above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters
  • Narrative trend shows meaningful shifts in score direction
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 36.74%5 Year CAGR: 47.22%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$672$690$436$111-$141$97$243-$9

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Nextpower Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Nextpower Inc.Technology

Nextracker Inc., an energy solutions company, provides solar tracker solutions for PV projects. The company offers solar trackers, such as Bifacial PV modules for large-scale solar; NX Horizon for solar power plants; NX Gemini two-in-portrait solar tracker that optimizes lifetime value and performance of power plants for project developers and asset owners; and NX Horizon XTR, an all-terrain solar tracker. It also provides TrueCapture, an intelligent and self-adjusting tracker control system for PV power plants; and NX Navigator, an operational control and risk mitigation software. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Fremont, California. Nextracker Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Flex Ltd.