Market Pulse50Neutral

Navitas Semiconductor CorporationOpportunity Rank #332(NVTS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$9.18

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$9.18
Price
$0.85
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 91%MOS: $0.68

Fundamental Score

3/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

55/100
Improving

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) is estimated at $0.85 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $9.18, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -41.86% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) is estimated at $0.85 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $9.18, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -41.86% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$0.85
▼ -90.74% downside
20% margin of safety: $0.68
Years: 10Growth Rate: -41.86%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-8.31%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

3/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
90.7% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-2.0% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -8.3% vs WACC 7.0% (-1.2x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
5.7x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-46.1% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

55/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (81st pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 89%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 40 (37 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
35 news sentiment+0.6
2 regulatory scrutiny-0.1
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 17h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 90%
Thesis
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation is significantly overvalued with its current price nearly 90% above estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals including negative ROIC and declining free cash flow. Despite a strong narrative score, the company's elevated leverage and poor returns relative to cost of capital suggest caution.
Key Risk
The key risk is that continued poor financial performance and high leverage could lead to further value erosion and investor losses.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -41.87%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -18.50%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
-$41-$41-$52-$37-$40-$40-$20-$18

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Navitas Semiconductor Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Navitas Semiconductor CorporationTechnology

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation designs, develops, and sells gallium nitride (GaN) power integrated circuits in China, the United States, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.