Market Pulse44Neutral

Navitas Semiconductor CorpOpportunity Rank #314(NVTS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$11.46

Last updated: Jul 20, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$11.46
Price
$0.76
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 93%MOS: $0.61

Fundamental Score

5/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

53/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

18/100
Weak

As of 2026-07-17

The intrinsic value of Navitas Semiconductor Corp (NVTS) is estimated at $0.76 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $11.46, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -42.46% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Navitas Semiconductor Corp (NVTS) is estimated at $0.76 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $11.46, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -42.46% long-term growth rate and a 12.16% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$0.76
▼ -93.37% downside
20% margin of safety: $0.61
Years: 10Growth Rate: -42.46%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-12.21%
Cost of Capital (estimated)7%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

5/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
93.4% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-1.6% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -12.2% vs WACC 7.0% (-1.7x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
4.9x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-47.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Pressure from: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

53/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (38th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 87%Updated: 2d ago
Sources: 53 (50 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
Downgrade headlines+0.2
43 news sentiment+0.2
Legal risk-0.1
3 upgrade headlines+0.0
2 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

18/100
WeakAs of 2026-07-17310 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-64.0%
Price vs 50 EMA-35.0%
Price vs 21 EMA-27.5%
Price vs 21 EMA0 · -27.5%
Price vs 50 EMA0 · -35.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA3 · -10.4%
3M RS vs SPY10 · -13.3%
6M RS vs SPY67 · +6.5%
Distance from 52W High0 · -64.0%

Investment Coach

Updating... 39d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 89%
Thesis
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation is significantly overvalued with its current price nearly 97% above estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals including negative ROIC and a negative free cash flow yield. The company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating poor capital efficiency and financial health.
Key Risk
The primary risk is continued deterioration in fundamentals and cash flow, which could further depress valuation and shareholder returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -42.46%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -28.26%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
-$44-$41-$52-$37-$40-$40-$20-$18

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Navitas Semiconductor Corp's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Navitas Semiconductor CorpTechnology

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation designs, develops, and markets power semiconductors in the United States, Europe, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers gallium nitride power integrated circuits, silicon carbide power devices, silicon system controllers, and digital isolators for power conversion and charging. Its products are used in automotive, data center, mobile, consumer electronics markets, and various other applications. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Torrance, California.