Market Pulse50Neutral

Nucor CorporationOpportunity Rank #88(NUE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$160.62

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$160.62
Price
$441.08
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 175%MOS: $352.86

Fundamental Score

69/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

58/100
Improving

+1 vs previous

The intrinsic value of Nucor Corporation (NUE) is estimated at $441.08 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $160.62, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.31% long-term growth rate and a 9.91% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Nucor Corporation (NUE) is estimated at $441.08 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $160.62, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.31% long-term growth rate and a 9.91% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$441.08
174.61% upside
20% margin of safety: $352.86
Years: 10Growth Rate: 5.31%
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.

Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.17%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

69/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
174.6% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
18.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.2% vs WACC 8.0% (0.3x)
14
Net Debt / FCF
0.7x net debt to FCF
87
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
9.4% 5Y FCF CAGR
72
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

58/100
Improving
+1 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:High (100th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 89%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 69 (63 News · 6 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
41 news sentiment+0.7
20 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
2 analyst downgrades-0.0
2 earnings miss-0.0
4 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 17h ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
Nucor Corporation is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 184.7% above its current price, supported by healthy free cash flow yield and constructive fundamentals. The company shows an improving narrative trend and strong buyback activity, indicating potential for sustained growth.
Key Risk
Returns are currently trailing the estimated cost of capital, which may pressure valuation if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 5.31%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -1.71%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$6,656$6,656$7,152$9,326$12,020$7,853$4,240$4,287$3,376$1,504$2,355$2,543$2,011$2,275$2,148$1,470$1,205$1,564$3,518$2,456$2,590

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Nucor Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Nucor CorporationBasic Materials

Nucor Corporation manufactures and sells steel and steel products. The company's Steel Mills segment produces hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet steel products; plate steel products; wide-flange beams, beam blanks, and H-piling and sheet piling products; and bar steel products, such as blooms, billets, concrete reinforcing and merchant bars, and special bar quality products. It also engages in the steel trading and rebar distribution businesses. This segment sells its products to steel service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Its Steel Products segment offers hollow structural section steel tubing products, electrical conduits, steel racking, steel joists and joist girders, steel decks, fabricated concrete reinforcing steel products, cold finished steel products, steel fasteners, metal building systems, insulated metal panels, steel grating and expanded metal products, and wire and wire mesh products primarily for use in nonresidential construction applications. This segment also engages in the piling distribution business. The company's Raw Materials segment produces direct reduced iron (DRI); brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron, hot briquetted iron, and DRI; supplies ferro-alloys; and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metal, as well as engages in the natural gas drilling operations. This segment sells its ferrous scrap to electric arc furnace steel mills and foundries for manufacturing process; and nonferrous scrap metal to aluminum can producers, secondary aluminum smelters, steel mills and other processors, and consumers of various nonferrous metals. It serves agriculture, automotive, construction, energy and transmission, oil and gas, heavy equipment, infrastructure, and transportation industries through its in-house sales force; and internal distribution and trading companies. Nucor Corporation was incorporated in 1958 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.