Market Pulse46Neutral

Nucor CorporationOpportunity Rank #65(NUE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$227.37

Last updated: Jul 13, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$227.37
Price
$414.97
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 83%MOS: $331.98

Fundamental Score

71/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

58/100
Improving

-3 vs previous

Trend Score

65/100
Constructive

As of 2026-07-10

The intrinsic value of Nucor Corporation (NUE) is estimated at $414.97 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $227.37, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.34% long-term growth rate and a 10.70% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Nucor Corporation (NUE) is estimated at $414.97 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $227.37, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.34% long-term growth rate and a 10.70% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$414.97
82.51% upside
20% margin of safety: $331.98
Years: 10Growth Rate: 5.34%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.74%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

71/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
82.5% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
13.5% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.7% vs WACC 8.0% (0.3x)
17
Net Debt / FCF
0.7x net debt to FCF
87
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
10.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
77
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

58/100
Improving
-3 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Average (53rd pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 85%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 46 (34 News · 12 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
30 news sentiment+0.8
Analyst upgrades+0.1
3 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
Downgrade headlines+0.0
Analyst downgrades-0.0
10 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

65/100
ConstructiveAs of 2026-07-10309 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+28.5%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+12.5%
Distance from 52-Week High-14.6%
Price vs 21 EMA33 · -2.8%
Price vs 50 EMA43 · -1.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA61 · +1.4%
3M RS vs SPY89 · +12.5%
6M RS vs SPY96 · +28.5%
Distance from 52W High71 · -14.6%

Investment Coach

Updating... 31d ago
BUYConfidence: 62%
Thesis
Nucor Corporation is undervalued with an estimated fair value 71.2% above its current price, supported by a strong fundamental score of 71 and a healthy free cash flow yield of 12.2%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company demonstrates solid buyback activity and free cash flow growth potential.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, indicating returns are currently below the company's cost of capital.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 5.34%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -1.21%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$6,980$6,656$7,152$9,326$12,020$7,853$4,240$4,287$3,376$1,504$2,355$2,543$2,011$2,275$2,148$1,470$1,205$1,564$3,518$2,456$2,590

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Nucor Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Nucor CorporationBasic Materials

Nucor Corporation is a prominent producer and distributor of steel and diverse steel-related products. Within its Steel Mills division, the company manufactures a comprehensive range of steel goods. These include various sheet steel types like hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized, alongside plate steel. It also produces structural components such as wide-flange beams, beam blanks, H-piling, and sheet piling. Furthermore, this segment supplies bar steel products, encompassing blooms, billets, concrete reinforcing bars, merchant bars, and specialized bar quality items. Beyond manufacturing, Nucor's steel mills are involved in steel trading and the distribution of rebar. Its clientele primarily consists of steel service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The Steel Products segment provides an array of manufactured steel goods, such as hollow structural section tubing, electrical conduits, steel racking, joists and girders, steel decks, and fabricated concrete reinforcing steel. It also supplies cold finished steel, fasteners, complete metal building systems, insulated metal panels, steel grating, expanded metal, and various wire and wire mesh products. These offerings are largely directed towards nonresidential construction projects. Additionally, this segment manages a piling distribution operation. Nucor's Raw Materials division is responsible for producing direct reduced iron (DRI). It also acts as a broker for ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron, hot briquetted iron (HBI), and direct reduced iron (DRI). This segment supplies ferro-alloys, processes both ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals, and undertakes natural gas drilling activities. Its ferrous scrap is supplied to electric arc furnace steel mills and foundries for their manufacturing processes. Meanwhile, nonferrous scrap metal is sold to aluminum can manufacturers, secondary aluminum smelters, steel mills, various other processors, and direct consumers of diverse nonferrous metals. The corporation caters to a wide range of industries including agriculture, automotive, construction, energy and transmission, oil and gas, heavy equipment, infrastructure, and transportation. Sales are conducted via an in-house sales team and through the company's internal distribution and trading enterprises. Established in 1958, Nucor Corporation has its headquarters situated in Charlotte, North Carolina.