NTRA

$197.08

Public overview and default valuation.

Log in to track this stock.

Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -54.01% trendline growth.
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.
$8.52

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$6.82
-96.54% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
-19.62%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
33
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
96.5% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
1.1% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -19.6% vs WACC 8.0% (-2.5x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
223.5% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
52
Weak
Weighted across 3 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Low (3th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 93%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 54 (News 41 · Analyst 13)
Drivers
30 news sentiment+0.5
11 regulatory scrutiny-0.3
13 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E-87.4
Profit Margin-14.6%
Owner Earnings-$171.71m
One Dollar Premise0.00%
Debt/Equity0.41
Current Ratio3.69
PEG4.395
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
2012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
-$10-$16$20-$30-$51-$87-$67-$58-$163-$294-$384-$208$295
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Natera, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Natera, Inc.Healthcare

Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, develops and commercializes molecular testing services worldwide. It offers Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus with a blood draw from the mother, as well as twin pregnancies for zygosity; Vistara, a single-gene mutations screening test to identify single-gene disorder; Horizon carrier screening to determine carrier status for various genetic diseases; and Spectrum to identify chromosomal anomalies or inherited genetic conditions during an in vitro fertilization cycle. The company also provides Anora miscarriage test products to analyze fetal chromosomes to understand the cause of miscarriage; and non-invasive paternity testing products to determine paternity by gestation using a blood draw from the pregnant mother and alleged father. In addition, it offers Constellation, a cloud-based software product that enables laboratory customers to gain access through the cloud to the company's algorithms and bioinformatics in order to validate and launch tests; Signatera, a circulating tumor DNA technology that screen for a generic set of mutations independent of an individual's tumor; and Prospera used to assess organ transplant rejection. The company offers products through its direct sales force, as well as through a network of approximately 100 laboratory and distribution partners. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays; and Foundation Medicine, Inc. to develop and commercialize personalized circulating tumor DNA monitoring assays. The company was formerly known as Gene Security Network, Inc. and changed its name to Natera, Inc. in 2012. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is based in Austin, Texas.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.