Nokia OyjOpportunity Rank #234(NOK) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$14.45
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
+1 vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of Nokia Oyj (NOK) is estimated at $4.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $14.45, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -9.00% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.03%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Nokia Oyj (NOK) is estimated at $4.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $14.45, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -9.00% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.03%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
- Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread.
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Nokia Oyj's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Nokia OyjTechnology
Nokia Oyj stands as a global technology leader, delivering comprehensive network infrastructure and solutions across mobile, fixed, and cloud domains. Its operations are structured into four primary divisions: Mobile Networks, Network Infrastructure, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The Mobile Networks segment furnishes radio access network technologies, spanning from 2G to 5G, alongside crucial microwave radio links for transport. Within Network Infrastructure, Nokia provides fixed access solutions such as fiber and copper, coupled with cloud and virtualization services. This segment also encompasses a robust Wi-Fi portfolio, featuring mesh solutions and cloud-based controllers, as well as sophisticated IP routing solutions for aggregation, edge, and core applications tailored for residential, business, mobile, and industrial sectors. Its extensive optical network offerings include coherent optical transponders, optical transport network switchers, wavelength-division multiplexers, reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexer solutions, and optical line systems designed for metro access, data center interconnect, regional, and long/ultra-long-haul applications. Additionally, Nokia provides capabilities for submarine networks. The Cloud and Network Services division delivers business application software, advanced cloud and cognitive services, core network software, and specialized enterprise solutions. Through Nokia Technologies, the company engages in licensing its valuable intellectual property, encompassing patents, various technologies, and the iconic Nokia brand, in addition to offering hardware, software, and related services. Serving a diverse clientele, Nokia's customers include communications service providers, major internet companies (webscales and hyperscalers), digital industries, and governmental entities. Nokia Oyj was founded in 1865 and maintains its headquarters in Espoo, Finland.