NIKE, Inc.Opportunity Rank #230(NKE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$52.71
Last updated: Mar 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
-7 vs previous
The intrinsic value of NIKE, Inc. (NKE) is estimated at $38.28 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.71, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.68% long-term growth rate and a 9.27% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of NIKE, Inc. (NKE) is estimated at $38.28 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.71, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 3.68% long-term growth rate and a 9.27% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- Sustained improvement in ROIC vs WACC spread
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative trend and fundamental score
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates NIKE, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
NIKE, Inc.Consumer Cyclical
NIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells men's, women's, and kids athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories worldwide. The company provides athletic and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories under the Jumpman trademark; and casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories under the Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks. In addition, it sells a line of performance equipment and accessories comprising bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities under the NIKE brand; and various plastic products to other manufacturers. The company markets apparel with licensed college and professional team, and league logos, as well as sells sports apparel. Additionally, it licenses unaffiliated parties to manufacture and sell apparel, digital devices, and applications and other equipment for sports activities under NIKE-owned trademarks. The company sells its products to footwear stores; sporting goods stores; athletic specialty stores; department stores; skate, tennis, and golf shops; and other retail accounts through NIKE-owned retail stores, digital platforms, independent distributors, licensees, and sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc. and changed its name to NIKE, Inc. in 1971. NIKE, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon.