Market Pulse59Neutral

Micron Technology, Inc.Opportunity Rank #96(MU) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$646.63

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$646.63
Price
$605.30
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 6%MOS: $484.24

Fundamental Score

71/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

100/100
Strong

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) is estimated at $605.30 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $646.63, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.43% long-term growth rate and an 11.82% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) is estimated at $605.30 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $646.63, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.43% long-term growth rate and an 11.82% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$605.30
-6.39% downside
20% margin of safety: $484.24
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.43%
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.

Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
9.92%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

71/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
6.4% premium to price
39
FCF Yield
7.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 9.9% vs WACC 8.0% (1.2x)
62
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
25.3% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF Yield, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (55th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 16h ago
Sources: 230 (200 News · 30 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
176 news sentiment+13.4
21 regulatory scrutiny+2.8
Upgrade headlines+0.3
Earnings beat+0.2
Downgrade headlines+0.0
30 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

100/100
StrongAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+82.4%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+205.6%
Distance from 52-Week High0.0%
Price vs 21 EMA100 · +37.6%
Price vs 50 EMA100 · +58.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA99 · +14.9%
3M RS vs SPY100 · +82.4%
6M RS vs SPY100 · +205.6%
Distance from 52W High100 · 0.0%

Investment Coach

Updated 23h ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
Micron Technology, Inc. presents a strong fundamental profile with a bullish score of 72 and a healthy free cash flow yield of 7.0%, supported by a stable narrative score of 80. Although the current valuation is slightly above fair value, the company's ROIC exceeds its cost of capital, indicating potential for sustained value creation.
Key Risk
The key risk is the stock price not correcting to a more attractive valuation level, which could limit upside potential.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • ROIC remains above cost of capital in upcoming quarters
  • Narrative score shows meaningful directional shifts
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.43%5 Year CAGR: 17.80%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$51,025$33,382$16,893$9,235$27,248$22,498$16,529$23,044$26,485$13,406$9,031$9,229$8,357$3,055$3,813$5,034$3,712$1,694$3,547$4,540$3,384

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Micron Technology, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Micron Technology, Inc.Technology

Micron Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Compute and Networking Business Unit, Mobile Business Unit, Storage Business Unit, and Embedded Business Unit. It provides memory and storage technologies comprises DRAM products, which are dynamic random access memory semiconductor devices with low latency that provide high-speed data retrieval; NAND products that are non-volatile and re-writeable semiconductor storage devices; and NOR memory products, which are non-volatile re-writable semiconductor memory devices that provide fast read speeds under the Micron and Crucial brands, as well as through private labels. The company offers memory products for the cloud server, enterprise, client, graphics, and networking markets, as well as for smartphone and other mobile-device markets; SSDs and component-level solutions for the enterprise and cloud, client, and consumer storage markets; other discrete storage products in component and wafers; and memory and storage products for the automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. It markets its products through its direct sales force, independent sales representatives, distributors, and retailers; and web-based customer direct sales channel, as well as through channel and distribution partners. Micron Technology, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.