MS

$175.84

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 8.00% trendline growth.
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-$201.84

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

-$161.47
-191.83% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
1.08%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
16
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
191.8% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-0.2% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.1% vs WACC 11.0% (0.1x)
5
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-88.2% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
80
Strong
Weighted across 6 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: High (91th pct)
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 100%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 205 (News 200 · Analyst 5)
Drivers
129 news sentiment+2.4
60 regulatory scrutiny+1.9
6 earnings beat+0.3
3 upgrade headlines+0.1
Downgrade headlines+0.1
Legal risk-0.0
Other Metrics
P/E16.4
Profit Margin14.5%
Owner Earnings$24.53b
One Dollar Premise37.00%
Debt/Equity11.18
Current Ratio0.39
PEG3.508
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
-$30,812-$60,803-$20,624$74,817-$43,074$41,508$7,988$25,860$36,869$2,123$5,047$3,723-$2,876$9,170$42,599-$23,787$36,279-$3,319-$30,124-$611
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Morgan StanleyFinancial Services

Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, provides various financial products and services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It operates through Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management segments. The Institutional Securities segment offers capital raising and financial advisory services, including services related to the underwriting of debt, equity, and other securities, as well as advice on mergers and acquisitions, restructurings, real estate, and project finance. This segment also provides sales and trading services, such as sales, financing, prime brokerage, and market-making services in equity and fixed income products consisting of foreign exchange and commodities; corporate and commercial real estate loans, which provides secured lending facilities and financing for sales and trading customers, and asset-backed and mortgage lending; and wealth management services, investment, and research services. The Wealth Management segment offers financial advisor-led brokerage and investment advisory services; self-directed brokerage services; financial and wealth planning services; workplace services, including stock plan administration; annuity and insurance products; securities-based lending, residential real estate loans, and other lending products; banking; and retirement plan services to individual investors and small to medium-sized businesses and institutions. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, liquidity, and alternative/other products to benefit/defined contribution plans, foundations, endowments, government entities, sovereign wealth funds, insurance companies, and third-party fund sponsors and corporations through institutional and intermediary channels. Morgan Stanley was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Morgan Stanley (MS) Intrinsic Value & DCF Valuation | Intrinziq