Market Pulse53Neutral

Lyft, Inc.Opportunity Rank #83(LYFT) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$14.02

Last updated: Jul 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$14.02
Price
$93.50
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 567%MOS: $74.80

Fundamental Score

73/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

55/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

32/100
Weak

As of 2026-07-24

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The intrinsic value of Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) is estimated at $93.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $14.02, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.39% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.96%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) is estimated at $93.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $14.02, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 14.39% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 9.96%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$93.50
566.90% upside
20% margin of safety: $74.80
Years: 10Growth Rate: 14.39%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-1.88%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

73/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
566.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
24.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -1.9% vs WACC 11.0% (-0.2x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
381.0% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

55/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (56th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 86%Updated: 1d ago
Sources: 37 (30 News · 7 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
26 news sentiment+0.3
2 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
2 legal risk+0.0
7 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

32/100
WeakAs of 2026-07-24310 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-29.2%
Distance from 52-Week High-42.2%
Price vs 21 EMA-5.1%
Price vs 21 EMA21 · -5.1%
Price vs 50 EMA34 · -3.2%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA66 · +2.0%
3M RS vs SPY37 · -3.1%
6M RS vs SPY4 · -29.2%
Distance from 52W High16 · -42.2%

Investment Coach

Updating... 44d ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
Lyft, Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 626% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals including a healthy free cash flow yield of 25.4%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's robust free cash flow growth and buyback activity present a compelling buy opportunity.
Key Risk
Lyft's return on invested capital remains substantially below its weighted average cost of capital, indicating potential challenges in generating sustainable value.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 56.96%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 320.35%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
$1,289$1,221$933$52-$122-$23-$1,285$72-$210-$382-$478

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Lyft, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Lyft, Inc.Technology

Lyft, Inc. facilitates a comprehensive, on-demand transportation platform spanning the United States and Canada. Its core mission involves offering users personalized and immediate access to diverse mobility solutions through its multimodal network. Among its primary services is the Ridesharing Marketplace, which seamlessly connects drivers with passengers. For drivers, the company provides Express Drive, a flexible program for vehicle rentals. Consumers can also utilize Lyft Rentals for longer-distance travel needs. Furthermore, in numerous urban centers, Lyft operates a fleet of shared bikes and scooters, ideal for shorter journeys. The Lyft app enhances its utility by incorporating public transit data, thereby expanding the array of available transport options for users. Beyond these offerings, the company also provides access to autonomous vehicles, specialized enterprise transportation solutions (including concierge services for organizations), and subscription benefits through its Lyft Pink plans. Additional services include Lyft Pass commuter programs, first-mile and last-mile connectivity, and university safe rides initiatives. Established in 2007, the company initially operated as Zimride, Inc. before officially rebranding to Lyft, Inc. in April 2013. Its corporate headquarters are located in San Francisco, California.