Market Pulse53Neutral

Lam Research Corporation(LRCX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$319.78

Last updated: Jul 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$319.78
Price
$85.87
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 73%MOS: $68.70

Fundamental Score

63/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

80/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

0/100
Unavailable

Trend data unavailable

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The intrinsic value of Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is estimated at $85.87 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $319.78, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.87% long-term growth rate and an 11.47% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is estimated at $85.87 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $319.78, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.87% long-term growth rate and an 11.47% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$85.87
-73.15% downside
20% margin of safety: $68.70
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.87%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
20.01%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

63/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
73.1% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
1.9% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 20.0% vs WACC 9.0% (2.2x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
26.2% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

80/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (82nd pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 1d ago
Sources: 136 (118 News · 18 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
95 news sentiment+2.1
17 regulatory scrutiny+1.9
4 earnings beat+0.2
Downgrade headlines+0.1
Upgrade headlines+0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0

Trend Details

0/100
NeutralRules-based daily model
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.87%5 Year CAGR: 13.63%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$7,458$6,932$5,049$5,681$3,646$3,937$2,330$3,480$2,929$2,187$1,526$984$863$881$606$1,009$386-$34$667$884$403

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Lam Research Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Lam Research CorporationTechnology

Lam Research Corporation is a prominent supplier of equipment vital for semiconductor processing, encompassing its design, production, sales, repair, and ongoing maintenance. These sophisticated systems are fundamental for the creation of integrated circuits. The company's extensive product catalog features a variety of deposition technologies. For tungsten metallization, they provide ALTUS systems that deposit conformal films. SABRE products excel in electrochemical deposition, crucial for copper interconnect transitions and enabling copper damascene manufacturing. SOLA utilizes ultraviolet thermal processing for film treatments, while VECTOR delivers plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (CVD) and atomic layer deposition (ALD) solutions. Furthermore, SPEED addresses gapfill applications with its high-density plasma CVD products, and Striker is engineered for single-wafer atomic layer deposition of dielectric films. Beyond deposition, Lam Research offers a comprehensive suite of etching tools. Flex is designed for dielectric etch applications, Kiyo handles conductor etch processes, Syndion specializes in through-silicon via etching, and Versys metal products are used for metal etch processes. The company's offerings also extend to specialized solutions like Coronus, which enhances die yield through bevel cleaning. For various wafer cleaning requirements, Lam Research supplies multiple product lines, including Da Vinci, DV-Prime, EOS, and SP series. Additionally, Metryx mass metrology systems provide precise, in-line mass measurement capabilities for semiconductor wafer manufacturing. Lam Research serves the global semiconductor industry, distributing its technologies and services across the United States, China, Europe, Japan, Korea, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and other international markets. Established in 1980, the company maintains its corporate headquarters in Fremont, California.

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Intrinsic Value & DCF (2026) | Intrinziq