Lumentum Holdings Inc.Opportunity Rank #235(LITE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$892.58
Last updated: May 08, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-05-08
The intrinsic value of Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) is estimated at $86.42 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $892.58, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.62% long-term growth rate and a 10.17% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) is estimated at $86.42 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $892.58, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.62% long-term growth rate and a 10.17% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Lumentum Holdings Inc.Technology
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments, Optical Communications (OpComms) and Commercial Lasers (Lasers). The OpComms segment offers components, modules, and subsystems that enable the transmission and transport of video, audio, and data over high-capacity fiber optic cables. It offers tunable transponders, transceivers, and transmitter modules; tunable lasers, receivers, and modulators; transport products, such as reconfigurable optical add/drop multiplexers, amplifiers, and optical channel monitors, as well as components, including 980nm, multi-mode, and Raman pumps; and switches, attenuators, photodetectors, gain flattening filters, isolators, wavelength-division multiplexing filters, arrayed waveguide gratings, multiplex/de-multiplexers, and integrated passive modules. This segment also provides Super Transport Blade, which integrates optical transport functions into a single-slot blade; vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers; directly modulated and electro-absorption modulated lasers; and laser illumination sources for 3D sensing systems. It serves customers in telecommunications, data communications, and consumer and industrial markets. The Commercial Lasers segment offers diode-pumped solid-state, fiber, diode, direct-diode, and gas lasers for use in original equipment manufacturer applications. It serves customers in markets and applications, such as sheet metal processing, general manufacturing, biotechnology, graphics and imaging, remote sensing, and precision machining. Lumentum Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.