Market Pulse59Neutral

Centrus Energy Corp.Opportunity Rank #283(LEU) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$206.30

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$206.30
Price
$31.29
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 85%MOS: $25.03

Fundamental Score

43/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

56/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

31/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) is estimated at $31.29 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $206.30, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -57.42% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.26%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) is estimated at $31.29 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $206.30, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -57.42% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.26%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$31.29
▼ -84.83% downside
20% margin of safety: $25.03
Years: 10Growth Rate: -57.42%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
49.13%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

43/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
84.8% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.5% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 49.1% vs WACC 11.0% (4.5x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-14.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

56/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (87th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 83%Updated: 16h ago
Sources: 36 (33 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
24 news sentiment+0.6
7 regulatory scrutiny-0.1
2 earnings beat-0.0
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

31/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-52.4%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-45.2%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-28.1%
Price vs 21 EMA55 · +0.9%
Price vs 50 EMA47 · -0.5%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA38 · -1.4%
3M RS vs SPY1 · -28.1%
6M RS vs SPY1 · -45.2%
Distance from 52W High0 · -52.4%

Investment Coach

Updated 19h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 67%
Thesis
Centrus Energy Corp. is significantly overvalued with its current price approximately 85% above estimated fair value, despite a strong ROIC well above its cost of capital. However, weak fundamentals and a very low free cash flow yield suggest limited upside potential at present.
Key Risk
The primary risk is that the company's free cash flow growth remains negative and fundamentals do not improve, undermining valuation support.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • ROIC remains consistently above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters.
  • Narrative trend shows meaningful improvement in score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -57.43%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -10.58%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$20$71$41$11$21$51$69$11-$74-$25$41$9-$110$81$147$209$185$885$337$246$323

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Centrus Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Centrus Energy Corp.Energy

Centrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel and services for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Japan, Belgium, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions. The LEU segment sells separative work units (SWU) component of LEU; SWU and natural uranium components of LEU; and natural uranium for utilities that operate nuclear power plants. The Technical Solutions segment offers technical, manufacturing, engineering, procurement, construction, and operations services to public and private sector customers, including the American Centrifuge engineering and testing activities. The company was formerly known as USEC Inc. and changed its name to Centrus Energy Corp. in September 2014. Centrus Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.