Market Pulse44Neutral

Centrus Energy Corp.Opportunity Rank #266(LEU) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$183.68

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$183.68
Price
$31.29
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 83%MOS: $25.03

Fundamental Score

43/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

69/100
Improving

-2 vs previous

Trend Score

31/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) is estimated at $31.29 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $183.68, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -57.42% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.84%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) is estimated at $31.29 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $183.68, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -57.42% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.84%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$31.29
▼ -82.96% downside
20% margin of safety: $25.03
Years: 10Growth Rate: -57.42%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
56.85%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

43/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
83.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.6% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 56.9% vs WACC 11.0% (5.2x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-14.3% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

69/100
Improving
-2 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:High (98th pct)Weighted across 4 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 81%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 32 (28 News · 4 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
21 news sentiment+1.8
5 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
2 earnings beat-0.0
4 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

31/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-57.9%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-27.8%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-16.4%
Price vs 21 EMA73 · +4.1%
Price vs 50 EMA43 · -1.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA14 · -5.3%
3M RS vs SPY6 · -16.4%
6M RS vs SPY4 · -27.8%
Distance from 52W High0 · -57.9%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 67%
Thesis
Centrus Energy Corp. is significantly overvalued with its current price approximately 80% above estimated fair value, supported by a strong ROIC well above its cost of capital. However, the company's fundamentals are weak, with a bearish score and thin free cash flow yield, indicating limited financial strength.
Key Risk
The key risk is that the deteriorating narrative and weak fundamentals could further pressure the stock price despite a high ROIC, undermining investment returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • ROIC remains consistently above the cost of capital in upcoming quarters.
  • Narrative trend shows meaningful improvement or stabilization in score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -57.43%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -10.58%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$20$71$41$11$21$51$69$11-$74-$25$41$9-$110$81$147$209$185$885$337$246$323

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Centrus Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Centrus Energy Corp.Energy

Centrus Energy Corp. is a global provider of essential nuclear fuel and associated services to the nuclear power industry, serving markets including the United States, Japan, and Belgium. The company operates through two primary divisions: Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions. The LEU segment specializes in supplying key components for nuclear energy production, offering separative work units (SWU) — either as a standalone part of LEU or combined with natural uranium — as well as natural uranium, primarily to utilities operating nuclear power plants. Conversely, the Technical Solutions segment offers a comprehensive array of services, encompassing technical expertise, manufacturing, engineering design, procurement, construction management, and operational support. This segment caters to both public and private sector clients, with notable involvement in projects such as the engineering and testing of the American Centrifuge. Established in 1998, the company was formerly known as USEC Inc. before officially changing its name to Centrus Energy Corp. in September 2014. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Bethesda, Maryland.