Market Pulse59Neutral

Liberty Energy Inc.Opportunity Rank #13(LBRT) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$31.68

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$31.68
Price
$147.96
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 367%MOS: $118.37

Fundamental Score

69/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

55/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

92/100
Strong

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) is estimated at $147.96 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $31.68, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.84% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.69%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) is estimated at $147.96 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $31.68, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.84% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.69%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$147.96
▲ 367.05% upside
20% margin of safety: $118.37
Years: 10Growth Rate: 11.84%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
1.62%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

69/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
367.0% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
20.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.6% vs WACC 9.0% (0.2x)
9
Net Debt / FCF
0.7x net debt to FCF
87
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
40.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

55/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (48th pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 54%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 19 (19 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
14 news sentiment+0.4
4 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
Earnings beat+0.0

Trend Details

92/100
StrongAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+81.1%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+24.4%
Distance from 52-Week High-2.4%
Price vs 21 EMA79 · +5.3%
Price vs 50 EMA91 · +12.5%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA90 · +6.7%
3M RS vs SPY98 · +24.4%
6M RS vs SPY100 · +81.1%
Distance from 52W High95 · -2.4%

Investment Coach

Updated 20h ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
Liberty Energy Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 473% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and a healthy free cash flow yield of 20.2%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company shows constructive fundamentals and a robust free cash flow growth rate.
Key Risk
The company’s return on invested capital is substantially below its weighted average cost of capital, indicating potential value destruction.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 11.84%5 Year CAGR: 25.59%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
$1,044$1,205$1,480$1,618$990$334$189$456$610$507$62$45

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Liberty Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Liberty Energy Inc.Energy

Liberty Energy Inc. provides hydraulic fracturing and wireline services, and related goods to onshore oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in North America. It also offers hydraulic fracturing pressure pumping services, including pressure pumping and pumpdown perforating services, as well wireline services, proppant delivery solutions, data analytics, related goods and technologies. In addition, the company owns operates two sand mines in the Permian Basin. As of December 31, 2021, it had a total of approximately 30 active frac fleets. The company offers its services primarily in the Permian Basin, the Eagle Ford Shale, the Denver-Julesburg Basin, the Williston Basin, and the Powder River Basin. The company was formerly known as Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. and changed its name to Liberty Energy Inc. in April 2022. Liberty Energy Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.