Market Pulse53Neutral

Lakeland Industries, Inc.(LAKE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$10.82

Last updated: Jul 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$10.82
Price
-$4.50
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 142%MOS: -$3.60

Fundamental Score

13/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

49/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

0/100
Unavailable

Trend data unavailable

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The intrinsic value of Lakeland Industries, Inc. (LAKE) is estimated at $-4.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $10.82, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -2.60% long-term growth rate and a 10.69% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Lakeland Industries, Inc. (LAKE) is estimated at $-4.50 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $10.82, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -2.60% long-term growth rate and a 10.69% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$4.50
-141.61% downside
20% margin of safety: -$3.60
Years: 10Growth Rate: -2.60%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-1.32%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

13/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
141.6% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
-4.0% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -1.3% vs WACC 8.0% (-0.2x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-53.8% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

49/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (1st pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 60%Updated: 1d ago
Sources: 15 (14 News · 1 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
Legal risk-0.2
10 news sentiment+0.1
2 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
Margin pressure+0.0
Analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

0/100
NeutralRules-based daily model
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

Investment Coach

Updating... 44d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 85%
Thesis
Lakeland Industries, Inc. is currently overvalued with an estimated fair value significantly below its market price, supported by weak fundamentals and negative free cash flow yield. Despite an improving narrative trend, the company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the company's sustained negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may continue to erode shareholder value.
Signals To Watch
  • Watch for the stock price to decline to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Track improvements in the ROIC versus WACC spread for signs of operational recovery.
  • Monitor narrative trends for meaningful shifts that could indicate a change in fundamentals.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -2.70%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -53.81%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010200920082007
-$4-$14$13-$3$14$42$5$5$2$12$0$4-$3$4$5$1$20$4$1$9

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Lakeland Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Lakeland Industries, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

Lakeland Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells industrial protective clothing and accessories for the industrial and first responder markets. It offers firefighter protective apparel and accessories; high-end chemical protective suits to provide protection from highly concentrated, toxic and/or lethal chemicals, and biological toxins; and limited use/disposable protective clothing, such as coveralls, laboratory coats, shirts, pants, hoods, aprons, sleeves, arm guards, caps, and smocks. The company provides durable woven garments; high performance FR/AR apparel; and services for the inspection, cleaning, decontamination, maintenance, and repair of firefighting protective apparel. The company sells its products to a network of safety and industrial supply distributors through in-house sales teams, customer service group, and independent sales representatives. It serves end users, such as integrated oil, chemical/petrochemical, automobile, steel, glass, construction, smelting, cleanroom, janitorial, pharmaceutical, and high technology electronics manufacturers, as well as scientific, medical laboratories, and the utilities industry; and federal, state, and local governmental agencies and departments. The company has operations in the United States, Europe, Mexico, Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. Lakeland Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama.