CarMax, Inc.Opportunity Rank #7(KMX) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$52.41
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of CarMax, Inc. (KMX) is estimated at $149.10 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.41, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.59% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.22%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of CarMax, Inc. (KMX) is estimated at $149.10 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $52.41, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.59% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.22%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates CarMax, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
CarMax, Inc.Consumer Cyclical
CarMax, Inc., together with its associated entities, functions as a prominent purveyor of previously owned automobiles across the United States. Its business operations are strategically structured into two principal divisions: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. Through its retail offerings, the company provides an extensive selection of pre-owned vehicles, including various domestic, imported, and luxury models, in addition to hybrid and electric options. Customers also have the opportunity to purchase extended protection plans at the time of their vehicle acquisition. Separately, CarMax sells older, higher-mileage vehicles—typically around ten years old with over 100,000 miles—via wholesale auctions. Furthermore, CarMax delivers reconditioning and repair services for its vehicles. For its retail clients, the company facilitates a range of financing alternatives designed to accommodate diverse credit profiles, managed both by its internal CarMax Auto Finance segment and through arrangements with various external financial institutions. As of February 28, 2022, CarMax operated a network comprising approximately 230 retail locations specializing in used cars. Founded in 1993, CarMax, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Richmond, Virginia.