Market Pulse44Neutral

Kimberly-Clark CorporationOpportunity Rank #104(KMB) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$100.50

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$100.50
Price
$130.10
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 29%MOS: $104.08

Fundamental Score

48/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

60/100
Improving

-1 vs previous

Trend Score

40/100
Weak

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) is estimated at $130.10 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $100.50, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 0.49% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.00%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) is estimated at $130.10 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $100.50, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 0.49% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.00%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$130.10
▲ 29.45% upside
20% margin of safety: $104.08
Years: 10Growth Rate: 0.49%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
5.75%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

48/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
29.5% discount to price
99
FCF Yield
11.4% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.8% vs WACC 11.0% (0.5x)
26
Net Debt / FCF
1.7x net debt to FCF
39
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-2.7% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

60/100
Improving
-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline:High (80th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 87%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 56 (49 News · 7 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
37 news sentiment+0.9
Promotions/discounting+0.0
6 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
Legal risk-0.0
Margin pressure+0.0
Restructuring+0.0

Trend Details

40/100
WeakAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-12.4%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-13.2%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+0.7%
Price vs 21 EMA52 · +0.4%
Price vs 50 EMA56 · +1.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA56 · +0.7%
3M RS vs SPY11 · -12.4%
6M RS vs SPY19 · -13.2%
Distance from 52W High47 · -26.5%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
WATCHConfidence: 48%
Thesis
Kimberly-Clark Corporation is currently trading at a significant discount with an estimated fair value 28.8% above its current price and a healthy free cash flow yield of 11.3%. However, returns are trailing the estimated cost of capital, indicating operational challenges.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital remains below its weighted average cost of capital, posing a risk to value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 0.49%5 Year CAGR: 0.40%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$3,812$3,915$3,955$4,308$3,609$3,737$4,946$3,945$3,847$3,714$4,003$3,362$3,884$3,993$4,381$3,256$3,708$4,329$3,422$3,418$3,552

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Kimberly-Clark Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Kimberly-Clark CorporationConsumer Defensive

Kimberly-Clark Corporation, a Dallas, Texas-based entity established in 1872, operates as a global purveyor of personal hygiene and paper-based consumer goods. The company's business activities are structured into three distinct divisions. The Personal Care segment focuses on products like disposable infant diapers, training pants, baby wipes, and items designed for feminine and incontinence care. Well-known brands under this umbrella include Huggies, Kotex, and Depend, among others. Its Consumer Tissue segment supplies household essentials such as facial tissues, toilet paper, and paper towels, distributed under popular names like Kleenex, Scott, and Viva. The K-C Professional division caters to commercial and institutional clients, offering industrial wipers, specialized tissues, towels, apparel, soaps, and sanitizers, with brands including WypAll and Kimtech. Kimberly-Clark distributes its products intended for home use across a wide array of retail channels, including supermarkets, large-scale retailers, pharmacies, club stores, and e-commerce platforms. For its professional and commercial offerings, the company directly serves sectors such as manufacturing, hospitality, office buildings, and food services, as well as through various distributors and online sales.