Market Pulse57Neutral

Kimberly-Clark CorporationOpportunity Rank #127(KMB) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$106.82

Last updated: Jul 15, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$106.82
Price
$130.10
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 22%MOS: $104.08

Fundamental Score

46/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

57/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

57/100
Constructive

As of 2026-07-14

The intrinsic value of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) is estimated at $130.10 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $106.82, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 0.49% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.04%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) is estimated at $130.10 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $106.82, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 0.49% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.04%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$130.10
21.79% upside
20% margin of safety: $104.08
Years: 10Growth Rate: 0.49%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
5.75%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

46/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
21.8% discount to price
86
FCF Yield
10.8% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.8% vs WACC 11.0% (0.5x)
26
Net Debt / FCF
1.7x net debt to FCF
39
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-2.7% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

57/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (58th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 84%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 35 (32 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
23 news sentiment+0.8
5 regulatory scrutiny-0.2
Downgrade headlines+0.1
Promotions/discounting+0.0
Legal risk-0.0
Margin pressure+0.0

Trend Details

57/100
ConstructiveAs of 2026-07-14309 daily bars used
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+3.5%
Price vs 50 EMA+2.4%
Price vs 21 EMA-1.1%
Price vs 21 EMA43 · -1.1%
Price vs 50 EMA62 · +2.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA76 · +3.5%
3M RS vs SPY54 · +1.0%
6M RS vs SPY52 · +0.8%
Distance from 52W High56 · -21.9%

Investment Coach

Updating... 33d ago
WATCHConfidence: 48%
Thesis
Kimberly-Clark Corporation is currently trading at a significant discount with an estimated fair value 28.8% above its current price and a healthy free cash flow yield of 11.3%. However, returns are trailing the estimated cost of capital, indicating operational challenges.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital remains below its weighted average cost of capital, posing a risk to value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 0.49%5 Year CAGR: 0.40%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$3,812$3,915$3,955$4,308$3,609$3,737$4,946$3,945$3,847$3,714$4,003$3,362$3,884$3,993$4,381$3,256$3,708$4,329$3,422$3,418$3,552

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Kimberly-Clark Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Kimberly-Clark CorporationConsumer Defensive

Kimberly-Clark Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets personal care products in the United States. It operates in two segments, North America and International Personal Care. The North America segment offers disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, reusable underwear, facial and bathroom tissue, paper towels, napkins, wipers, tissue, towels, soaps and sanitizers, and other related products under the Huggies, Pull-Ups, Goodnites, Kotex, Poise, Depend, Kleenex, Scott, Cottonelle, Viva, Wypall , and other brand names. Its International Personal Care segment provides baby and child care, adult care and feminine care, including disposable diapers, training and youth pants, swimpants, baby wipes, feminine and incontinence care products, reusable underwear, and other related products under the Huggies, Kotex, Goodfeel, Intimus, Depend, and other brand names. The company sells its household use products directly to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, drugstores, warehouse clubs, variety and department stores, and other retail outlets, as well as through other distributors and e-commerce. It also sells its professional use products through distributors, directly to manufacturing, lodging, office building, food service, and high-volume public facilities, and through e-commerce. Kimberly-Clark Corporation was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Intrinsic Value & DCF (2026) | Intrinziq