JD

$27.32

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, 11.55% trendline growth.
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$234.57

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$187.66
586.88% upside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
9.63%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
75
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
586.9% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
13.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 9.6% vs WACC 10.0% (1.0x)
48
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
5.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
52
Strengths lead the score: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
54
Weak
Weighted across 4 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Above Avg (78th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 89%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 51 (News 47 · Analyst 4)
Drivers
38 news sentiment+0.3
8 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Macro headwinds+0.0
4 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E2.7
Profit Margin2.5%
Owner Earnings$7.58b
One Dollar Premise30.00%
Debt/Equity1.69
Current Ratio1.24
PEG-0.578
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$77$366$698$562$501$1,899$5,193$6,065$4,062$7,208$8,737$11,455$11,417$5,298
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates JD.com, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

JD.com, Inc.Consumer Cyclical

JD.com, Inc. operates as a supply chain-based technology and service provider in the People's Republic of China. The company offers computers, communication, and consumer electronics products, as well as home appliances; and general merchandise products comprising food, beverage and fresh produce, baby and maternity products, furniture and household goods, cosmetics and other personal care items, pharmaceutical and healthcare products, industrial products, books, automobile accessories, apparel and footwear, bags, and jewelry. It also provides online marketplace services for third-party merchants; marketing services; and omni-channel solutions to customers and offline retailers, as well as online healthcare services. In addition, the company develops, owns, and manages its logistics facilities and other real estate properties to support third parties; offers asset management services and integrated service platform; leasing of storage facilities and related management services; and engages in online retail business. Further, it provides integrated data, technology, business, and user management industry solutions to support the digitization of enterprises and institutions; and technology-driven supply chain solutions and logistics services. The company was formerly known as 360buy Jingdong Inc. and changed its name to JD.com, Inc. in January 2014. JD.com, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.