JD.com, Inc.Opportunity Rank #132(JD) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$27.02
Last updated: Jun 23, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
-3 vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-06-22
The intrinsic value of JD.com, Inc. (JD) is estimated at $89.66 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $27.02, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.24% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.66%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of JD.com, Inc. (JD) is estimated at $89.66 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $27.02, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 8.24% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.66%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates JD.com, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
JD.com, Inc.Consumer Cyclical
JD.com, Inc. is a prominent technology and service provider based in the People's Republic of China, distinguished by its robust, supply chain-centric operations. The company's retail segment offers a comprehensive array of products. This includes computing devices, communication equipment, and various consumer electronics, alongside a broad selection of home appliances. Beyond these, JD.com provides an extensive general merchandise category, covering everything from groceries (food, beverages, fresh produce) and daily essentials (baby and maternity items, furniture, household goods, personal care, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, health products) to specialized goods (industrial products, books, automotive accessories, apparel, footwear, bags, and jewelry). Additionally, the firm extends a variety of services, such as hosting an online marketplace for external vendors, delivering marketing solutions, providing omni-channel retail strategies for both consumers and traditional brick-and-mortar stores, and offering online healthcare services. JD.com also plays a significant role in infrastructure, developing, owning, and managing its own logistics facilities and other real estate assets. These capabilities not only support its internal operations but also serve third parties through asset management services, an integrated service platform, and the leasing and management of storage facilities. Beyond consumer and retail services, the company offers integrated industry solutions encompassing data analytics, technology, business operations, and user management, all designed to facilitate the digital transformation of various enterprises and institutions. It also delivers advanced, technology-driven supply chain and logistics services. Incorporated in 2006, JD.com, Inc. is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. The company was formerly known as 360buy Jingdong Inc. until it officially changed its name to JD.com, Inc. in January 2014.