JD.com, Inc.Opportunity Rank #64(JD) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$27.54
Last updated: Mar 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
The intrinsic value of JD.com, Inc. (JD) is estimated at $99.41 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $27.54, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.18% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.69%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of JD.com, Inc. (JD) is estimated at $99.41 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $27.54, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.18% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 6.69%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates JD.com, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
JD.com, Inc.Consumer Cyclical
JD.com, Inc. operates as a supply chain-based technology and service provider in the People's Republic of China. The company offers computers, communication, and consumer electronics products, as well as home appliances; and general merchandise products comprising food, beverage and fresh produce, baby and maternity products, furniture and household goods, cosmetics and other personal care items, pharmaceutical and healthcare products, industrial products, books, automobile accessories, apparel and footwear, bags, and jewelry. It also provides online marketplace services for third-party merchants; marketing services; and omni-channel solutions to customers and offline retailers, as well as online healthcare services. In addition, the company develops, owns, and manages its logistics facilities and other real estate properties to support third parties; offers asset management services and integrated service platform; leasing of storage facilities and related management services; and engages in online retail business. Further, it provides integrated data, technology, business, and user management industry solutions to support the digitization of enterprises and institutions; and technology-driven supply chain solutions and logistics services. The company was formerly known as 360buy Jingdong Inc. and changed its name to JD.com, Inc. in January 2014. JD.com, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.