Market Pulse59Neutral

Intuit Inc.Opportunity Rank #121(INTU) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$406.78

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$406.78
Price
$480.67
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 18%MOS: $384.54

Fundamental Score

73/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

71/100
Strong

No change vs previous

Trend Score

22/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. (INTU) is estimated at $480.67 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $406.78, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.03% long-term growth rate and an 8.89% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. (INTU) is estimated at $480.67 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $406.78, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.03% long-term growth rate and an 8.89% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$480.67
18.16% upside
20% margin of safety: $384.54
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.03%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
5.44%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

73/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
18.2% discount to price
80
FCF Yield
6.3% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.4% vs WACC 9.0% (0.6x)
30
Net Debt / FCF
0.5x net debt to FCF
89
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
22.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

71/100
Strong
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (24th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 95%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 109 (99 News · 10 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
68 news sentiment+1.5
27 regulatory scrutiny+0.5
2 upgrade headlines+0.2
Downgrade headlines-0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0
Layoffs-0.0

Trend Details

22/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-50.9%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-48.4%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-17.5%
Price vs 21 EMA46 · -0.7%
Price vs 50 EMA25 · -5.5%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA16 · -4.8%
3M RS vs SPY5 · -17.5%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -48.4%
Distance from 52W High0 · -50.9%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 69%
Thesis
Intuit Inc. is undervalued with an estimated fair value approximately 21% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and a positive narrative score. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company demonstrates robust free cash flow growth and a solid discounted cash flow valuation.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, indicating returns are currently below the estimated cost of capital, which could pressure valuation if not improved.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.03%5 Year CAGR: 16.13%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$7,127$6,331$5,134$5,306$4,118$3,375$2,551$2,479$2,236$1,829$1,923$1,765$1,663$1,575$1,442$1,241$1,128$995$1,136$880$692

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Intuit Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Intuit Inc.Technology

Intuit Inc. provides financial management and compliance products and services for consumers, small businesses, self-employed, and accounting professionals in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Small Business & Self-Employed, Consumer, Credit Karma, and ProConnect. The Small Business & Self-Employed segment provides QuickBooks online services and desktop software solutions comprising QuickBooks Online Advanced, a cloud-based solution; QuickBooks Enterprise, a hosted solution; QuickBooks Self-Employed solution; QuickBooks Commerce, a solution for product-based businesses; QuickBooks Online Accountant and QuickBooks Accountant Desktop Plus solutions; and payroll solutions, such as online payroll processing, direct deposit of employee paychecks, payroll reports, electronic payment of federal and state payroll taxes, and electronic filing of federal and state payroll tax forms. This segment also offers payment-processing solutions, including credit and debit cards, Apple Pay, and ACH payment services; QuickBooks Cash business bank account; and financial supplies and financing for small businesses. The Consumer segment provides TurboTax income tax preparation products and services; and personal finance. The Credit Karma segment offers consumers with a personal finance platform that provides personalized recommendations of home, auto, and personal loans, as well as credit cards and insurance products. The ProConnect segment provides Lacerte, ProSeries, and ProFile desktop tax-preparation software products; and ProConnect Tax Online tax products, electronic tax filing service, and bank products and related services. It sells products and services through various sales and distribution channels, including multi-channel shop-and-buy experiences, websites and call centers, mobile application stores, and retail and other channels. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.