Market Pulse63Bullish

Intuit Inc.Opportunity Rank #103(INTU) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$274.96

Last updated: Jul 13, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$274.96
Price
$588.99
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 114%MOS: $471.19

Fundamental Score

81/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

63/100
Improving

+2 vs previous

Trend Score

15/100
Weak

As of 2026-07-10

The intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. (INTU) is estimated at $588.99 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $274.96, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.13% long-term growth rate and an 8.75% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Intuit Inc. (INTU) is estimated at $588.99 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $274.96, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.13% long-term growth rate and an 8.75% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$588.99
114.21% upside
20% margin of safety: $471.19
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.13%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
5.89%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

81/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
114.2% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
10.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.9% vs WACC 9.0% (0.7x)
33
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
25.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

63/100
Improving
+2 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (28th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 100%Updated: 2d ago
Sources: 186 (169 News · 17 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
109 news sentiment+1.0
5 regulatory scrutiny-0.6
4 upgrade headlines+0.4
9 layoffs+0.3
4 restructuring+0.2
32 legal risk+0.1

Trend Details

15/100
WeakAs of 2026-07-10309 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-65.9%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-67.3%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-35.0%
Price vs 21 EMA40 · -1.6%
Price vs 50 EMA7 · -12.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA2 · -11.0%
3M RS vs SPY0 · -35.0%
6M RS vs SPY0 · -67.3%
Distance from 52W High0 · -65.9%

Investment Coach

Updating... 31d ago
BUYConfidence: 65%
Thesis
Intuit Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value 115% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals including a healthy free cash flow yield of 10.4%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company demonstrates robust cash flow growth and effective buybacks, indicating potential for substantial upside.
Key Risk
The key risk is the negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may indicate challenges in generating returns above the company's cost of capital.
Signals To Watch
  • Valuation discount remaining above 10%
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative trend and score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.13%5 Year CAGR: 19.02%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$8,061$6,331$5,134$5,306$4,118$3,375$2,551$2,479$2,236$1,829$1,923$1,765$1,663$1,575$1,442$1,241$1,128$995$1,136$880$692

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Intuit Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Intuit Inc.Technology

Intuit Inc. provides financial management, payments and capital, compliance, and marketing products and services in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Global Business Solutions, Consumer, Credit Karma, and ProTax. The Global Business Solutions segment provides QuickBooks services, which include financial and business management online services, desktop software, payroll solutions, time tracking, merchant payment processing and bill pay solutions, checking accounts, and financing services for small and mid-market businesses; and Mailchimp, a marketing automation and customer relationship management. This segment also offers QuickBooks online services and desktop software solutions comprising QuickBooks Online, QuickBooks Live, QuickBooks Online Advanced, QuickBooks Self-Employed, QuickBooks Solopreneur financial and business management offerings, QuickBooks Online Payroll, QuickBooks Checking, QuickBooks Desktop software subscriptions, and QuickBooks Assisted Payroll. The Consumer segment provides do-it-yourself and assisted TurboTax income tax preparation products and services. The Credit Karma segment offers consumers with a personal finance platform that provides recommendations for credit card, home, auto, and personal loan, and insurance products; online savings and checking accounts; and access to its credit scores and reports, credit and identity monitoring, credit report dispute, credit building tools, and tools. The ProTax segment provides Lacerte, ProSeries, and ProFile desktop tax-preparation software products; and ProConnect Tax Online bill pay tax products, electronic tax filing service, and bank products and related services. It sells products and services through direct sales channels, multichannel shop-and-buy experiences, mobile application stores, and partner and other channels. Intuit Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.