Market Pulse50Neutral

Intel CorporationOpportunity Rank #132(INTC) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$44.01

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$44.01
Price
$76.26
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 73%MOS: $61.01

Fundamental Score

48/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

68/100
Improving

-3 vs previous

The intrinsic value of Intel Corporation (INTC) is estimated at $76.26 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $44.01, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 2.61% long-term growth rate and an 8.81% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Intel Corporation (INTC) is estimated at $76.26 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $44.01, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 2.61% long-term growth rate and an 8.81% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$76.26
▲ 73.28% upside
20% margin of safety: $61.01
Years: 10Growth Rate: 2.61%
Want to create your own valuation? Create a free account.

Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
0.37%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

48/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
73.3% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
11.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 0.4% vs WACC 9.0% (0.0x)
2
Net Debt / FCF
0.4x net debt to FCF
92
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-8.1% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Buybacks.

Narrative Details

68/100
Improving
-3 vs previous · +2 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (68th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 100%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 222 (200 News · 22 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
142 news sentiment+2.2
51 regulatory scrutiny-0.2
2 legal risk-0.2
Margin pressure+0.0
Upgrade headlines+0.0
Earnings beat+0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 19h ago
BUYConfidence: 55%
Thesis
Intel Corporation is undervalued with an estimated fair value 81.2% above its current price and a healthy free cash flow yield of 11.1%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the improving narrative score supports a buy decision.
Key Risk
Intel's returns on invested capital remain significantly below its weighted average cost of capital, indicating potential ongoing profitability challenges.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 2.61%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -8.06%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$24,343$24,343$32,232$37,221$40,483$49,785$49,837$49,358$44,613$33,888$31,433$26,463$30,615$31,523$30,726$31,727$21,899$15,685$16,123$17,625$16,399

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Intel Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Intel CorporationTechnology

Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.