Market Pulse59Neutral

Ingles Markets, IncorporatedOpportunity Rank #111(IMKTA) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$85.78

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$85.78
Price
$0.00
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 100%MOS: $0.00

Fundamental Score

65/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

53/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

51/100
Neutral

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) is estimated at $N/A per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $85.78, the stock appears fairly valued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.37% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 0.59%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA) is estimated at $N/A per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $85.78, the stock appears fairly valued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.37% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 0.59%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

N/A
N/A
20% margin of safety: N/A
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.37%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
1.28%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

65/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
DCF discount unavailable
50
FCF Yield
10766.0% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 1.3% vs WACC 8.0% (0.2x)
8
Net Debt / FCF
0.1x net debt to FCF
97
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
226.5% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF Yield, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

53/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:High (86th pct)Weighted across 2 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 58%Updated: 16h ago
Sources: 21 (21 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
3 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
18 news sentiment+0.1

Trend Details

51/100
NeutralAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-9.1%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+8.4%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-4.8%
Price vs 21 EMA33 · -2.9%
Price vs 50 EMA43 · -1.3%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA63 · +1.6%
3M RS vs SPY31 · -4.8%
6M RS vs SPY72 · +8.4%
Distance from 52W High82 · -9.1%

Investment Coach

Updated 20h ago
WATCHConfidence: 43%
Thesis
Ingles Markets, Incorporated shows constructive fundamentals with a strong free cash flow yield and healthy buybacks, though returns currently trail the estimated cost of capital. Valuation appears close to fair value, suggesting a patient approach is warranted.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's return on invested capital significantly underperforming its weighted average cost of capital, which may pressure valuation and growth prospects.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 9.37%5 Year CAGR: 230.20%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$175,415$269$473$440$459$447$473$373$312$284$297$258$263$247$314$195$217$244$338$267$194

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Ingles Markets, Incorporated's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Ingles Markets, IncorporatedConsumer Defensive

Ingles Markets, Incorporated operates a chain of supermarkets in the southeast United States. It offers food products, including grocery, meat and dairy products, produce, frozen foods, and other perishables; and non-food products, which include fuel centers, pharmacies, health and beauty care products, and general merchandise, as well as private label items. The company also owns and operates a milk processing and packaging plant that supplies organic milk, fruit juices, and bottled water products to other retailers, food service distributors, and grocery warehouses. In addition, it provides home meal replacement items, delicatessens, bakeries, floral departments, and greeting cards, as well as broad selections of local organic, beverage, and health-related items. As of September 25, 2021, the company operated 189 supermarkets under the brand name Ingles, and nine supermarkets under the brand name Sav-Mor in western North Carolina, western South Carolina, northern Georgia, eastern Tennessee, southwestern Virginia, and northeastern Alabama, as well as 111 pharmacies and 107 fuel stations. Ingles Markets, Incorporated was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.