Market Pulse59Neutral

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.Opportunity Rank #7(IBKR) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$83.71

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$83.71
Price
$809.75
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 867%MOS: $647.80

Fundamental Score

93/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

59/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

82/100
Strong

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is estimated at $809.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $83.71, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.68% long-term growth rate and a 10.64% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is estimated at $809.75 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $83.71, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.68% long-term growth rate and a 10.64% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$809.75
▲ 867.33% upside
20% margin of safety: $647.80
Years: 10Growth Rate: 7.68%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
263.43%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

93/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
867.3% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
11.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 263.4% vs WACC 11.0% (23.9x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
15.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: Buybacks.

Narrative Details

59/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (21st pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 89%Updated: 17h ago
Sources: 84 (78 News · 6 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
57 news sentiment+1.1
17 regulatory scrutiny-0.3
3 earnings beat+0.1
Upgrade headlines+0.0
6 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

82/100
StrongAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-3.0%
Price vs 50 EMA+12.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+5.1%
Price vs 21 EMA83 · +6.6%
Price vs 50 EMA91 · +12.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA84 · +5.1%
3M RS vs SPY74 · +6.4%
6M RS vs SPY73 · +9.0%
Distance from 52W High94 · -3.0%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
BUYConfidence: 81%
Thesis
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value nearly 891% above its current price, supported by a strong fundamental score of 93 and a robust ROIC that far exceeds its cost of capital. The company also boasts a healthy free cash flow yield of 11.7%, indicating strong financial health and growth potential.
Key Risk
A key risk is the potential decline in ROIC below the cost of capital, which could undermine the company's valuation and growth prospects.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Confirm ROIC stays above cost of capital over coming quarters.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 7.68%5 Year CAGR: 23.14%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$16,915$15,878$8,773$4,593$4,037$5,973$8,118$2,740$2,392$1,093$662$755$436$157$743$1,099$1,711$169$2,119-$63-$207

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.Financial Services

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. operates as an automated electronic broker in the United States and internationally. The company engages in the execution, clearance, and settlement of trades in stocks, options, futures, foreign exchange instruments, bonds, mutual funds, exchange traded funds (ETFs), precious metals, and cryptocurrencies. It also offers custody and service accounts for hedge and mutual funds, ETFs, registered investment advisors, proprietary trading groups, introducing brokers, and individual investors. In addition, the company provides custody, prime brokerage, securities, and margin lending services. It serves institutional and individual customers through electronic exchanges and market centers. Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.