Market Pulse57Neutral

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.Opportunity Rank #3(IBKR) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$95.61

Last updated: Jul 15, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$95.61
Price
$696.23
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 628%MOS: $556.98

Fundamental Score

93/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

60/100
Improving

+1 vs previous

Trend Score

86/100
Strong

As of 2026-07-14

The intrinsic value of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is estimated at $696.23 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $95.61, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.68% long-term growth rate and a 10.60% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) is estimated at $696.23 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $95.61, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 7.68% long-term growth rate and a 10.60% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$696.23
▲ 628.20% upside
20% margin of safety: $556.98
Years: 10Growth Rate: 7.68%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
263.43%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusCreating Value

The company is earning a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital — a sign of strong, efficient value creation.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

93/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
628.2% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
10.3% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 263.4% vs WACC 11.0% (23.9x)
100
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
15.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: Buybacks.

Narrative Details

60/100
Improving
+1 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (38th pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 89%Updated: 14h ago
Sources: 68 (63 News · 5 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
58 news sentiment+1.0
5 regulatory scrutiny+0.0
5 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

86/100
StrongAs of 2026-07-14309 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-1.2%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+18.7%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+27.4%
Price vs 21 EMA71 · +3.5%
Price vs 50 EMA83 · +8.4%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA82 · +4.7%
3M RS vs SPY96 · +18.7%
6M RS vs SPY95 · +27.4%
Distance from 52W High98 · -1.2%

Investment Coach

Updating... 33d ago
BUYConfidence: 81%
Thesis
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. is significantly undervalued with a fair value estimate over 700% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals including a high ROIC well above its cost of capital. The company demonstrates robust free cash flow metrics and a stable narrative trend, making it a compelling buy opportunity.
Key Risk
The primary risk is if the valuation discount narrows below 10% or if the ROIC falls below the cost of capital, undermining the investment thesis.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Confirm ROIC stays above cost of capital over coming quarters.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 7.68%5 Year CAGR: 23.14%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$16,915$15,878$8,773$4,593$4,037$5,973$8,118$2,740$2,392$1,093$662$755$436$157$743$1,099$1,711$169$2,119-$63-$207

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.Financial Services

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. operates as a sophisticated electronic brokerage, serving clients across the United States and globally. This firm manages the trading, clearing, and settlement for a broad spectrum of financial instruments, including equities, options, futures, foreign exchange, bonds, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), precious metals, and digital currencies. Beyond its core brokerage activities, the company provides custodial and administrative account services tailored for various entities such as hedge funds, mutual funds, ETFs, registered investment advisors, proprietary trading desks, introducing brokers, and individual investors. Its suite of services also includes custody solutions, prime brokerage, and financing options like securities lending and margin lending. Interactive Brokers caters to both institutional and individual clientele, utilizing advanced electronic exchanges and market platforms. The company was established in 1977 and maintains its headquarters in Greenwich, Connecticut.