Howmet Aerospace Inc.Opportunity Rank #224(HWM) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$272.43
Last updated: Jul 20, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-07-17
The intrinsic value of Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) is estimated at $66.93 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $272.43, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -1.78% long-term growth rate and a 9.34% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) is estimated at $66.93 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $272.43, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -1.78% long-term growth rate and a 9.34% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
- Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
- Meaningful shifts in the narrative trend or score direction
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates Howmet Aerospace Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
Howmet Aerospace Inc.Industrials
Howmet Aerospace Inc., headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and originally established in 1888 as Arconic Inc., is a global leader in providing sophisticated engineered solutions. The company caters to the aerospace and transportation sectors across a wide international footprint, including key markets such as the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, and China. Its business operations are structured into four main segments: Engine Products: This division manufactures critical components like airfoils and seamless rolled rings, primarily utilized in aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines, alongside various rotating and structural parts. Fastening Systems: This segment specializes in producing aerospace-grade fastening systems, as well as fasteners for commercial transportation, general industrial applications, and other uses. Engineered Structures: Responsible for supplying titanium ingots and mill products for aerospace and defense applications, this segment also provides aluminum and nickel forgings, and precision machined components and assemblies. Forged Wheels: This segment focuses on offering forged aluminum wheels and associated products specifically for the heavy-duty truck and commercial transportation markets.