HWM

$209.63

Public overview and default valuation.

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Valuation Details
Default assumptions: 10Y forecast, 9% market return, 2.5% terminal growth, -11.08% trendline growth.
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$25.49

With 20% Margin of Safety (MoS):

$20.39
-90.27% downside
Capital Efficiency
Average Quarterly ROIC
5.18%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.
Fundamental Score
44
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
90.3% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
2.8% trailing FCF yield
20
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.2% vs WACC 9.0% (0.6x)
29
Net Debt / FCF
1.1x net debt to FCF
58
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
18.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: Buybacks, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.
Narrative Score
54
Weak
Weighted across 5 recent drivers · Last 30 daysVs 6-Month Baseline: Average (55th pct)
Trend: StableConfidence: 89%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 52 (News 49 · Analyst 3)
Drivers
19 news sentiment+0.2
27 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Earnings beat+0.1
2 upgrade headlines+0.0
3 analyst reiterations0.0
Other Metrics
P/E58.3
Profit Margin18.2%
Owner Earnings$2.39b
One Dollar Premise12.00%
Debt/Equity1.23
Current Ratio2.28
PEG13.362
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024
$2,893$2,762$1,998$1,297$985$992$276$648$926$1,120$2,362
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Howmet Aerospace Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Howmet Aerospace Inc.Industrials

Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings primarily for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines; and rotating parts, as well as structural parts. The Fastening Systems segment produces aerospace fastening systems, as well as commercial transportation, industrial, and other fasteners. The Engineered Structures segment provides titanium ingots and mill products for aerospace and defense applications; and aluminum and nickel forgings, and machined components and assemblies. The Forged Wheels segment offers forged aluminum wheels and related products for heavy-duty trucks and commercial transportation markets. The company was formerly known as Arconic Inc. The company was founded in 1888 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Last updated: Feb 06, 2026
Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep
This valuation is based on assumptions and publicly available data. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.