Market Pulse53Neutral

HEICO CorporationOpportunity Rank #254(HEI) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$340.54

Last updated: Jul 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$340.54
Price
$133.37
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 61%MOS: $106.70

Fundamental Score

31/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

64/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

72/100
Strong

As of 2026-07-24

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The intrinsic value of HEICO Corporation (HEI) is estimated at $133.37 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $340.54, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.55% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.88%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of HEICO Corporation (HEI) is estimated at $133.37 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $340.54, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 6.55% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.88%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$133.37
-60.84% downside
20% margin of safety: $106.70
Years: 10Growth Rate: 6.55%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
3.6%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

31/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
60.8% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
2.3% trailing FCF yield
6
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 3.6% vs WACC 9.0% (0.4x)
20
Net Debt / FCF
2.2x net debt to FCF
23
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
19.8% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

64/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (76th pct)Weighted across 3 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 85%Updated: 1d ago
Sources: 42 (35 News · 7 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
10 regulatory scrutiny+0.7
25 news sentiment+0.7
7 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

72/100
StrongAs of 2026-07-24310 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY+25.8%
Distance from 52-Week High-4.3%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+3.1%
Price vs 21 EMA61 · +1.7%
Price vs 50 EMA72 · +4.9%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA74 · +3.1%
3M RS vs SPY99 · +25.8%
6M RS vs SPY38 · -4.3%
Distance from 52W High91 · -4.3%

Investment Coach

Updating... 44d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 76%
Thesis
HEICO Corporation is currently overvalued with its market price significantly above the estimated fair value, and its fundamentals are weak with returns trailing the cost of capital despite a supportive narrative score. The company shows a bearish fundamental outlook with a negative spread between ROIC and WACC, indicating potential value erosion.
Key Risk
The key risk is that the company's returns may not improve relative to its cost of capital, leading to continued value destruction.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 6.55%5 Year CAGR: 17.34%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$1,068$1,007$731$498$500$480$432$466$370$301$280$191$207$150$154$135$111$86$87$70$57

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates HEICO Corporation's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

HEICO CorporationIndustrials

HEICO Corporation operates as a global enterprise through its various subsidiaries, specializing in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of an extensive range of products and services tailored for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries. The company's Flight Support Group (FSG) division is a principal supplier of essential replacement components for jet engines and aircraft. Its offerings include specialized thermal insulation products, such as blankets and reusable systems, along with a variety of bespoke parts. The FSG also serves as a distributor for a wide array of hydraulic, pneumatic, structural, interconnect, mechanical, and electro-mechanical components, primarily targeting the commercial, regional, and general aviation sectors. Additionally, this segment provides comprehensive repair and overhaul services, covering jet engine and aircraft parts, avionics, instruments, composites, and flight surfaces for commercial aircraft, as well as navigation systems and various instruments used in military planes. HEICO's Electronic Technologies Group (ETG) delivers a broad and sophisticated portfolio of electronic solutions. This encompasses electro-optical infrared simulation and testing equipment, laser products, and diverse power equipment spanning electro-optical and microwave technologies. The ETG is also proficient in developing electromagnetic and radio frequency interference (RFI) shielding, high-speed interface products, high-voltage interconnection devices, advanced high-voltage power electronics, and power conversion units. Critical safety items like underwater and emergency locator beacons are also produced by this group. Further innovative contributions from the ETG include traveling wave tube amplifiers, microwave power modules, cutting-edge three-dimensional microelectronic and stacked memory products, rugged connectivity solutions, custom-molded cable assemblies designed for harsh environments, and a range of radio frequency and microwave amplifiers, transmitters, and receivers. The segment additionally provides communication and electronic intercept receivers and tuners, self-sealing auxiliary fuel systems, active antenna systems, and nuclear radiation detectors. The company's diverse clientele primarily spans the aviation, defense, space, medical, telecommunications, and general electronics sectors. HEICO Corporation was established in 1957 and its main offices are situated in Hollywood, Florida.