HCA Healthcare, Inc.Opportunity Rank #118(HCA) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$406.59
Last updated: Jul 13, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
Trend Score
As of 2026-07-10
The intrinsic value of HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) is estimated at $1,358.71 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $406.59, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.19% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.79%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) is estimated at $1,358.71 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $406.59, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.19% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 7.79%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Trend Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates HCA Healthcare, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
HCA Healthcare, Inc.Healthcare
HCA Healthcare, Inc., operating through its subsidiaries, delivers a comprehensive array of healthcare services throughout the United States. The organization manages a network of general and acute care hospitals that provide a full spectrum of medical and surgical care, encompassing inpatient services, intensive care, cardiac treatment, diagnostic procedures, and emergency services. These hospitals additionally offer a broad range of outpatient care, such as ambulatory surgery, laboratory testing, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy. Beyond its hospital infrastructure, HCA Healthcare operates numerous specialized outpatient facilities. These include standalone ambulatory surgery centers, dedicated emergency care facilities, urgent care clinics, walk-in clinics, advanced diagnostic and imaging centers, rehabilitation and physical therapy centers, radiation and oncology treatment facilities, physician practices, and various other healthcare sites. Furthermore, the company oversees psychiatric hospitals, which offer diverse therapeutic programs. These services cater to child, adolescent, and adult psychiatric care, alongside adolescent and adult alcohol and drug abuse treatment and counseling. As of December 31, 2021, HCA Healthcare's extensive portfolio included 182 hospitals, specifically 175 general and acute care hospitals, five psychiatric hospitals, and two rehabilitation hospitals. Its network also featured 125 freestanding surgery centers and 21 freestanding endoscopy centers, all distributed across 20 states and England. Founded in 1968 and formerly known as HCA Holdings, Inc., the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Nashville, Tennessee.