HCA Healthcare, Inc.Opportunity Rank #110(HCA) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)
Current Price
$494.58
Last updated: Mar 24, 2026
Price vs Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Score
Weighted across 6 signals
Narrative Score
No change vs previous
The intrinsic value of HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) is estimated at $1,289.95 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $494.58, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.17% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.43%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.
The intrinsic value of HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) is estimated at $1,289.95 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $494.58, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 5.17% long-term growth rate and an 8.50% discount rate (calculated: 8.43%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.Valuation Details
Capital Efficiency
The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.
Fundamental Details
Narrative Details
Investment Coach
- Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
- Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
- Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Free Cash Flow (in millions)
How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value
Intrinziq estimates HCA Healthcare, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.
HCA Healthcare, Inc.Healthcare
HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services company in the United States. The company operates general and acute care hospitals that offers medical and surgical services, including inpatient care, intensive care, cardiac care, diagnostic, and emergency services; and outpatient services, such as outpatient surgery, laboratory, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy. It also operates outpatient health care facilities consisting of freestanding ambulatory surgery centers, freestanding emergency care facilities, urgent care facilities, walk-in clinics, diagnostic and imaging centers, rehabilitation and physical therapy centers, radiation and oncology therapy centers, physician practices, and various other facilities. In addition, the company operates psychiatric hospitals, which provide therapeutic programs comprising child, adolescent and adult psychiatric care, adolescent and adult alcohol, drug abuse treatment, and counseling services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 182 hospitals, including 175 general and acute care hospitals, five psychiatric hospitals, and two rehabilitation hospitals; 125 freestanding surgery centers; and 21 freestanding endoscopy centers in 20 states and England. The company was formerly known as HCA Holdings, Inc. HCA Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.