Market Pulse59Neutral

Halliburton CompanyOpportunity Rank #51(HAL) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$39.12

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$39.12
Price
$46.02
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 18%MOS: $36.82

Fundamental Score

62/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

61/100
Improving

-1 vs previous

Trend Score

76/100
Strong

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Halliburton Company (HAL) is estimated at $46.02 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $39.12, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -2.01% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.53%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Halliburton Company (HAL) is estimated at $46.02 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $39.12, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -2.01% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.53%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$46.02
17.64% upside
20% margin of safety: $36.82
Years: 10Growth Rate: -2.01%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
3.13%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

62/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
17.6% discount to price
79
FCF Yield
12.1% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 3.1% vs WACC 9.0% (0.3x)
17
Net Debt / FCF
1.3x net debt to FCF
51
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
8.7% 5Y FCF CAGR
69
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

61/100
Improving
-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (29th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 85%Updated: 15h ago
Sources: 86 (74 News · 12 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
47 news sentiment+0.5
6 earnings beat+0.3
19 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
Downgrade headlines+0.1
Upgrade headlines+0.0
12 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

76/100
StrongAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY+38.1%
Distance from 52-Week High-5.8%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA+4.6%
Price vs 21 EMA51 · +0.1%
Price vs 50 EMA71 · +4.7%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA82 · +4.6%
3M RS vs SPY76 · +7.1%
6M RS vs SPY99 · +38.1%
Distance from 52W High88 · -5.8%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
WATCHConfidence: 46%
Thesis
Halliburton Company shows a 16% valuation upside with healthy free cash flow yield and constructive fundamentals, supported by strong buybacks and free cash flow growth. However, returns currently trail the estimated cost of capital, indicating potential challenges in value creation.
Key Risk
The company's return on invested capital remains below its weighted average cost of capital, posing a risk to sustained profitability and valuation improvement.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC vs WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -2.01%5 Year CAGR: 7.91%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$3,966$4,180$5,307$4,837$3,253$2,710$2,609$3,975$5,183$3,841-$905$5,090$7,345$7,381$7,220$6,637$4,281$4,270$5,150$4,309$4,548

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Halliburton Company's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Halliburton CompanyEnergy

Halliburton Company provides products and services to the energy industry worldwide. It operates in two segments, Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation. The Completion and Production segment offers production enhancement services that include stimulation and sand control services; cementing services, such as well bonding and casing, and casing equipment; completion tools that offer downhole solutions and services, including well completion products and services, intelligent well completions, and service tools, as well as liner hanger, sand control, and multilateral systems; production solutions comprising coiled tubing, hydraulic workover units, downhole tools, and pumping and nitrogen services; and pipeline and process services, such as pre-commissioning, commissioning, maintenance, and decommissioning. This segment also provides electrical submersible pumps, as well as artificial lift services. The Drilling and Evaluation segment offers drilling fluid systems, performance additives, completion fluids, solids control, specialized testing equipment, and waste management services; oilfield completion, production, and downstream water and process treatment chemicals and services; drilling systems and services; wireline and perforating services consists of open-hole logging, and cased-hole and slickline; and drill bits and services comprising roller cone rock bits, fixed cutter bits, hole enlargement, and related downhole tools and services, as well as coring equipment and services. This segment also provides cloud based digital services and artificial intelligence solutions on an open architecture for subsurface insights, integrated well construction, and reservoir and production management; testing and subsea services, such as acquisition and analysis of reservoir information and optimization solutions; and project management and integrated asset management services. Halliburton Company was founded in 1919 and is based in Houston, Texas.