Market Pulse50Neutral

Halliburton CompanyOpportunity Rank #109(HAL) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Energy

Current Price

$37.51

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$37.51
Price
$49.36
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 32%MOS: $39.49

Fundamental Score

67/100
Bullish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

61/100
Improving

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of Halliburton Company (HAL) is estimated at $49.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $37.51, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -1.92% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.78%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Halliburton Company (HAL) is estimated at $49.36 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $37.51, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -1.92% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.78%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$49.36
31.59% upside
20% margin of safety: $39.49
Years: 10Growth Rate: -1.92%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.44%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

67/100
BullishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
31.6% discount to price
100
FCF Yield
13.2% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.4% vs WACC 9.0% (0.3x)
14
Net Debt / FCF
1.2x net debt to FCF
54
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
9.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
74
Strengths: DCF Discount, FCF Yield. Concerns: ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

61/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Average (48th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 87%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 66 (52 News · 14 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
32 news sentiment+0.7
18 regulatory scrutiny+0.2
Upgrade headlines+0.2
Margin pressure+0.0
2 analyst downgrades-0.0
12 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 19h ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
Halliburton Company is undervalued with an estimated fair value approximately 30% above its current price, supported by strong fundamentals and a healthy free cash flow yield of 13.2%. Despite trailing returns relative to its cost of capital, the company's constructive fundamentals and buyback activity suggest potential for value realization.
Key Risk
The key risk is the company's return on invested capital remaining below its weighted average cost of capital, which could undermine value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -1.92%5 Year CAGR: 9.05%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$4,180$4,180$5,307$4,837$3,253$2,710$2,609$3,975$5,183$3,841-$905$5,090$7,345$7,381$7,220$6,637$4,281$4,270$5,150$4,309$4,548

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Halliburton Company's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Halliburton CompanyEnergy

Halliburton Company provides products and services to the energy industry worldwide. It operates in two segments, Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation. The Completion and Production segment offers production enhancement services that include stimulation and sand control services; cementing services, such as well bonding and casing, and casing equipment; completion tools that offer downhole solutions and services, including well completion products and services, intelligent well completions, and service tools, as well as liner hanger, sand control, and multilateral systems; production solutions comprising coiled tubing, hydraulic workover units, downhole tools, and pumping and nitrogen services; and pipeline and process services, such as pre-commissioning, commissioning, maintenance, and decommissioning. This segment also provides electrical submersible pumps, as well as artificial lift services. The Drilling and Evaluation segment offers drilling fluid systems, performance additives, completion fluids, solids control, specialized testing equipment, and waste management services; oilfield completion, production, and downstream water and process treatment chemicals and services; drilling systems and services; wireline and perforating services consists of open-hole logging, and cased-hole and slickline; and drill bits and services comprising roller cone rock bits, fixed cutter bits, hole enlargement, and related downhole tools and services, as well as coring equipment and services. This segment also provides cloud based digital services and artificial intelligence solutions on an open architecture for subsurface insights, integrated well construction, and reservoir and production management; testing and subsea services, such as acquisition and analysis of reservoir information and optimization solutions; and project management and integrated asset management services. Halliburton Company was founded in 1919 and is based in Houston, Texas.