Market Pulse50Neutral

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.Opportunity Rank #290(HAIN) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$0.62

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$0.62
Price
-$0.55
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 189%MOS: -$0.44

Fundamental Score

18/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

48/100
Weak

No change vs previous

The intrinsic value of The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) is estimated at $-0.55 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $0.62, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -0.74% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.93%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) is estimated at $-0.55 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $0.62, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -0.74% long-term growth rate and a 10.00% discount rate (calculated: 7.93%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$0.55
-189.34% downside
20% margin of safety: -$0.44
Years: 10Growth Rate: -0.74%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
-8.27%
Cost of Capital (estimated)10%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

18/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
189.3% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
99.7% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC -8.3% vs WACC 10.0% (-0.8x)
0
Net Debt / FCF
11.4x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
-16.0% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
0
Strengths: FCF Yield. Concerns: DCF Discount, ROIC vs WACC.

Narrative Details

48/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (33rd pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 59%Updated: 2h ago
Sources: 14 (11 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
Analyst downgrades-0.1
8 news sentiment-0.1
2 margin pressure-0.0
Regulatory scrutiny+0.0
2 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 19h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 85%
Thesis
The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. is significantly overvalued with an estimated fair value more than 110% below its current price, supported by weak fundamentals and negative returns relative to its cost of capital. The company faces elevated leverage and declining free cash flow growth, indicating a bearish outlook.
Key Risk
Continued deterioration in operational performance or worsening leverage could further impair value and investor returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
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Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -0.74%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): -19.10%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$56$47$150$95$120$268$212$118$178$280$284$237$226$194$142$70$82$35$147$216$152

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.Consumer Defensive

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells organic and natural products in United States, United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, North America and International. The company offers infant formula; infant, toddler, and kids' food; plant-based beverages and frozen desserts, such as soy, rice, oat, almond, and coconut; and condiments. It also provides cooking and culinary oils; cereal bars; canned, chilled fresh, aseptic, and instant soups; yogurts, chilis, chocolate, and nut butters; and juices. In addition, the company offers hot-eating desserts, cookies, refrigerated and frozen plant-based meat-alternative products, jams, fruit spreads, jellies, honey, natural sweeteners, and marmalade products, as well as other food products. Further, it provides snack products comprising potato, root vegetable and other exotic vegetable chips, straws, tortilla chips, whole grain chips, pita chips, and puffs; and personal care products that include hand, skin, hair, and oral care products, as well as deodorants, baby food, body washes, sunscreens, and lotions under the Alba Botanica, Avalon Organics, Earth's Best, JASON, Live Clean, and Queen Helene brands name. Additionally, the company offers herbal, green, black, wellness, rooibos, and chai tea under the Celestial Seasonings brand. It sells pantry products under the Spectrum, Spectrum Essentials, MaraNatha, Imagine broths, Hain Pure Foods, Health Valley, and Hollywood brands. It sells its products through specialty and natural food distributors, supermarkets, natural food stores, mass-market and e-commerce retailers, food service channels and clubs, and drug and convenience stores in approximately 80 countries worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Lake Success, New York.