Market Pulse63Bullish

Grab Holdings LimitedOpportunity Rank #276(GRAB) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$3.93

Last updated: Jul 13, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$3.93
Price
$1.68
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 57%MOS: $1.34

Fundamental Score

41/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

51/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

49/100
Neutral

As of 2026-07-10

The intrinsic value of Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) is estimated at $1.68 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $3.93, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.57% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.21%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) is estimated at $1.68 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $3.93, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.57% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.21%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$1.68
▼ -57.25% downside
20% margin of safety: $1.34
Years: 10Growth Rate: 11.57%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
4.97%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

41/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
57.3% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.7% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 5.0% vs WACC 8.0% (0.6x)
31
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
272.4% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

51/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Low (15th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 88%Updated: 2d ago
Sources: 39 (34 News · 5 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
2 upgrade headlines+0.2
31 news sentiment-0.1
Regulatory scrutiny+0.0
Analyst upgrades+0.0
4 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

49/100
NeutralAs of 2026-07-10309 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-32.1%
Price vs 21 EMA+6.1%
Price vs 50 EMA+6.9%
Price vs 21 EMA82 · +6.1%
Price vs 50 EMA79 · +6.9%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA56 · +0.8%
3M RS vs SPY33 · -4.2%
6M RS vs SPY3 · -32.1%
Distance from 52W High22 · -39.1%

Investment Coach

Updating... 31d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 85%
Thesis
Grab Holdings Limited is currently overvalued with its estimated fair value 48% below the current price, supported by weak fundamentals and a negative spread between ROIC and WACC. The company's free cash flow yield is thin at 0.9%, indicating limited financial flexibility.
Key Risk
The key risk is the sustained underperformance relative to the cost of capital, which could further pressure valuation and returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative trend and score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): 280.95%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 297.63%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$112$328$929$157-$740-$881-$603-$1,972

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Grab Holdings Limited's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Grab Holdings LimitedTechnology

Grab Holdings Limited operates a leading super-application, providing a wide array of services including transportation, food and package delivery, financial technology solutions, and business support offerings. These services are all accessible through a single mobile platform. Its operations span eight Southeast Asian countries, namely Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The company maintains its corporate headquarters in Singapore.