Market Pulse59Neutral

Grab Holdings LimitedOpportunity Rank #264(GRAB) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Technology

Current Price

$3.79

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$3.79
Price
$1.67
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 56%MOS: $1.34

Fundamental Score

38/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

60/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

19/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) is estimated at $1.67 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $3.79, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.38% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.34%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) is estimated at $1.67 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $3.79, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes an 11.38% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.34%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$1.67
▼ -55.94% downside
20% margin of safety: $1.34
Years: 10Growth Rate: 11.38%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.94%
Cost of Capital (estimated)8%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

38/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
55.9% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
0.7% trailing FCF yield
0
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.9% vs WACC 8.0% (0.4x)
18
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
272.4% 5Y FCF CAGR (adjusted)
100
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

60/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Above Avg (76th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Improving upConfidence: 95%Updated: 16h ago
Sources: 61 (57 News · 4 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
46 news sentiment+0.4
10 regulatory scrutiny+0.3
Analyst upgrades+0.3
Upgrade headlines+0.1
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

19/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-42.9%
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-19.7%
Distance from 52-Week High-42.3%
Price vs 21 EMA36 · -2.3%
Price vs 50 EMA26 · -5.0%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA28 · -2.8%
3M RS vs SPY4 · -19.7%
6M RS vs SPY1 · -42.9%
Distance from 52W High15 · -42.3%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 85%
Thesis
Grab Holdings Limited is currently overvalued with its market price approximately 55% above the estimated fair value, supported by weak fundamentals and a low free cash flow yield. Despite an improving narrative trend, the company's returns are trailing its cost of capital, indicating limited near-term upside potential.
Key Risk
The primary risk is that the company's return on invested capital remains below its weighted average cost of capital, which could continue to pressure valuation and shareholder returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Sustained improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative trend score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): 280.95%5 Year CAGR (Adjusted): 297.63%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019
$112$328$929$157-$740-$881-$603-$1,972

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates Grab Holdings Limited's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

Grab Holdings LimitedTechnology

Grab Holdings Limited provides superapps that allows access to mobility, delivery, financial services, and enterprise offerings through its mobile application in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The company is headquartered in Singapore.