Market Pulse50Neutral

GameStop Corp.Opportunity Rank #151(GME) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$22.81

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$22.81
Price
$9.80
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 57%MOS: $7.84

Fundamental Score

59/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

39/100
Broken

-4 vs previous

The intrinsic value of GameStop Corp. (GME) is estimated at $9.80 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $22.81, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -37.91% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.27%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of GameStop Corp. (GME) is estimated at $9.80 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $22.81, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -37.91% long-term growth rate and a 9.00% discount rate (calculated: 8.27%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$9.80
▼ -57.04% downside
20% margin of safety: $7.84
Years: 10Growth Rate: -37.91%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
7.22%
Cost of Capital (estimated)9%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

59/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
57.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
5.1% trailing FCF yield
76
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 7.2% vs WACC 9.0% (0.8x)
40
Net Debt / FCF
Net cash position
100
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
23.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF Yield, Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount.

Narrative Details

39/100
Broken
-4 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Low (0th pct)Weighted across 2 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 90%Updated: 53m ago
Sources: 58 (58 News)
Drivers(last 30 days)
55 news sentiment-1.1
3 regulatory scrutiny+0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 19h ago
BUYConfidence: 51%
Thesis
GameStop Corp. shows strong fundamentals with a high ROIC exceeding its cost of capital by 10.7 points and a healthy free cash flow yield of 5.8%, supporting a bullish investment stance despite the current price being significantly above estimated fair value. The company's fundamental score is strong at 72, indicating solid financial health and growth potential.
Key Risk
The current market price is 49% above the estimated fair value, posing a significant valuation risk if the price corrects downward.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moves to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • ROIC remains above cost of capital in upcoming quarters
  • Narrative trend shows meaningful shifts in score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: -37.91%5 Year CAGR: 22.98%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013201220112010200920082007
$517$162-$169$164-$372$184-$336$419$548$680$830$640$888$750$807$789$808$732$678$557

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates GameStop Corp.'s intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

GameStop Corp.Consumer Cyclical

GameStop Corp., a specialty retailer, provides games and entertainment products through its e-commerce properties and various stores in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. The company sells new and pre-owned gaming platforms; accessories, such as controllers, gaming headsets, virtual reality products, and memory cards; new and pre-owned gaming software; and in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads. It also sells collectibles comprising licensed merchandise primarily related to the gaming, television, and movie industries, as well as pop culture themes. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 4,573 stores and ecommerce sites under the GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania brands; and 50 pop culture themed stores that sell collectibles, apparel, gadgets, electronics, toys, and other retail products under the Zing Pop Culture brand, as well as offers Game Informer, a print and digital video game publication featuring reviews of new releases, previews of the big titles on the horizon, and coverage of the latest developments in the gaming industry. The company was formerly known as GSC Holdings Corp. GameStop Corp. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Grapevine, Texas.