Market Pulse44Neutral

GE AerospaceOpportunity Rank #196(GE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$355.12

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$355.12
Price
-$7.05
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 102%MOS: -$5.64

Fundamental Score

42/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

65/100
Improving

-2 vs previous

Trend Score

85/100
Strong

As of 2026-06-22

The intrinsic value of GE Aerospace (GE) is estimated at $-7.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $355.12, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -82.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.88% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of GE Aerospace (GE) is estimated at $-7.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $355.12, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -82.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.88% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$7.05
▼ -101.99% downside
20% margin of safety: -$5.64
Years: 10Growth Rate: -82.80%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
8.67%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

42/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
102.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
2.8% trailing FCF yield
19
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 8.7% vs WACC 11.0% (0.8x)
39
Net Debt / FCF
0.9x net debt to FCF
82
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
7.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
65
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

65/100
Improving
-2 vs previous · +1 new driversVs 6-Month Baseline:Average (42nd pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 87%Updated: 3h ago
Sources: 51 (46 News · 5 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
42 news sentiment+1.5
2 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Product recall-0.0
Restructuring+0.0
5 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

85/100
StrongAs of 2026-06-22308 daily bars used
Distance from 52-Week High-0.7%
Price vs 50 EMA+12.1%
Price vs 21 EMA+7.4%
Price vs 21 EMA85 · +7.4%
Price vs 50 EMA91 · +12.1%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA81 · +4.4%
3M RS vs SPY82 · +9.1%
6M RS vs SPY77 · +10.7%
Distance from 52W High99 · -0.7%

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 76%
Thesis
GE Aerospace is currently overvalued with an estimated fair value significantly below its market price, supported by a weak fundamental score and returns trailing its cost of capital. Despite a stable but weak narrative score, the overall outlook suggests avoiding investment at this time.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the continued underperformance of returns relative to the cost of capital, which could further depress valuation and investor confidence.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -82.80%5 Year CAGR: 17.40%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$10,247$9,810$5,742$6,774$7,090$4,594$7,000$14,867$13,034$14,474$8,359$27,200$41,437$42,037$46,457$46,009$45,923$33,227$64,611$63,837$47,296

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates GE Aerospace's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

GE AerospaceIndustrials

Based in Evendale, Ohio, GE Aerospace is a prominent American aviation enterprise with roots tracing back to its 1878 founding by Thomas Alva Edison. The company specializes in manufacturing and supplying jet and turboprop engines, along with integrated systems, for an extensive range of aircraft, including those in commercial, military, business, and general aviation use. Its robust brand lineup features Avio Aero, Unison, GE Additive, and Dowty Propellers. GE Aerospace organizes its activities into two core segments: Commercial Engines & Services, and Defense & Propulsion Technologies. The Commercial Engines & Services division oversees the design, development, production, and maintenance of jet engines for commercial airframes, business aviation, and aeroderivative applications. Meanwhile, the Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment is dedicated to providing vital engines and critical systems for defense-related aerospace needs.