Market Pulse50Neutral

GE AerospaceOpportunity Rank #244(GE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$291.54

Last updated: Mar 24, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$291.54
Price
-$5.89
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 102%MOS: -$4.71

Fundamental Score

40/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

59/100
Improving

-1 vs previous

The intrinsic value of GE Aerospace (GE) is estimated at $-5.89 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $291.54, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -82.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.79% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of GE Aerospace (GE) is estimated at $-5.89 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $291.54, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -82.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.79% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$5.89
▼ -102.02% downside
20% margin of safety: -$4.71
Years: 10Growth Rate: -82.80%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
8.8%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

40/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
102.0% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
3.2% trailing FCF yield
30
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 8.8% vs WACC 11.0% (0.8x)
40
Net Debt / FCF
0.8x net debt to FCF
83
Buybacks
Share count flat
50
FCF CAGR (5Y)
7.0% 5Y FCF CAGR
60
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

59/100
Improving
-1 vs previousVs 6-Month Baseline:Low (0th pct)Weighted across 5 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 85%Updated: 1h ago
Sources: 72 (66 News · 6 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
55 news sentiment+0.7
2 upgrade headlines+0.2
8 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
Margin pressure+0.0
6 analyst reiterations0.0

Investment Coach

Updated 19h ago
AVOIDConfidence: 83%
Thesis
GE Aerospace is currently overvalued with an estimated fair value significantly below its market price, supported by weak fundamentals and returns trailing its cost of capital. The company's narrative score is stable but broken, indicating ongoing challenges.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the sustained negative spread between ROIC and WACC, which may continue to erode shareholder value.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value.
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread.
  • Meaningful shifts in the narrative score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -82.80%5 Year CAGR: 16.38%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$9,810$9,810$5,742$6,774$7,090$4,594$7,000$14,867$13,034$14,474$8,359$27,200$41,437$42,037$46,457$46,009$45,923$33,227$64,611$63,837$47,296

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates GE Aerospace's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

GE AerospaceIndustrials

GE Aerospace is an American aircraft company, which engages in the provision of jet and turboprop engines, as well as integrated systems for commercial, military, business, and general aviation aircraft. The firm's portfolio of brands includes Avio Aero, Unison, GE Additive, and Dowty Propellers. It operates through the Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies segments. The Commercial Engines & Services segment is involved in the design, development, manufacturing, and servicing of jet engines for commercial airframes, as well as business aviation and aeroderivative applications. The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment offers defense engines and critical aircraft systems. The company was founded by Thomas Alva Edison in 1878 and is headquartered in Evendale, OH.