Market Pulse59Neutral

GE AerospaceOpportunity Rank #268(GE) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Sector: Industrials

Current Price

$302.63

Last updated: May 08, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$302.63
Price
-$7.05
Intrinsic Value
Overvalued by 102%MOS: -$5.64

Fundamental Score

43/100
Bearish

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

63/100
Improving

No change vs previous

Trend Score

38/100
Weak

As of 2026-05-08

The intrinsic value of GE Aerospace (GE) is estimated at $-7.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $302.63, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -82.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.76% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of GE Aerospace (GE) is estimated at $-7.05 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $302.63, the stock appears overvalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a -82.80% long-term growth rate and a 9.76% discount rate, reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

-$7.05
▼ -102.33% downside
20% margin of safety: -$5.64
Years: 10Growth Rate: -82.80%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
8.08%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

43/100
BearishWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
102.3% premium to price
0
FCF Yield
3.2% trailing FCF yield
31
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 8.1% vs WACC 11.0% (0.7x)
37
Net Debt / FCF
0.9x net debt to FCF
82
Buybacks
Share count shrinking
80
FCF CAGR (5Y)
7.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
64
Strengths: Net Debt / FCF, Buybacks. Concerns: DCF Discount, FCF Yield.

Narrative Details

63/100
Improving
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (25th pct)Weighted across 6 recent drivers
Trend: Deteriorating downConfidence: 87%Updated: 16h ago
Sources: 89 (84 News · 5 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
72 news sentiment+0.8
7 earnings beat+0.2
Margin pressure+0.1
2 upgrade headlines+0.1
2 regulatory scrutiny+0.1
5 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

38/100
WeakAs of 2026-05-08311 daily bars used
3M Relative Strength vs SPY-14.2%
6M Relative Strength vs SPY-11.5%
Distance from 52-Week High-14.1%
Price vs 21 EMA57 · +1.1%
Price vs 50 EMA47 · -0.6%
21 EMA vs 50 EMA36 · -1.7%
3M RS vs SPY9 · -14.2%
6M RS vs SPY22 · -11.5%
Distance from 52W High72 · -14.1%

Investment Coach

Updating... 1d ago
AVOIDConfidence: 83%
Thesis
GE Aerospace is currently overvalued with an estimated fair value significantly below its market price, supported by weak fundamentals and returns trailing its cost of capital. The company's deteriorating narrative and bearish fundamental score suggest caution for investors.
Key Risk
The primary risk is the continued underperformance relative to its weighted average cost of capital, which could further depress valuation and returns.
Signals To Watch
  • Price moving to at least a mid-teens discount to fair value
  • Improvement in ROIC versus WACC spread
  • Meaningful positive shifts in the narrative score direction
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR (Adjusted): -82.80%5 Year CAGR: 17.37%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
$10,234$9,810$5,742$6,774$7,090$4,594$7,000$14,867$13,034$14,474$8,359$27,200$41,437$42,037$46,457$46,009$45,923$33,227$64,611$63,837$47,296

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates GE Aerospace's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

GE AerospaceIndustrials

GE Aerospace is an American aircraft company, which engages in the provision of jet and turboprop engines, as well as integrated systems for commercial, military, business, and general aviation aircraft. The firm's portfolio of brands includes Avio Aero, Unison, GE Additive, and Dowty Propellers. It operates through the Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies segments. The Commercial Engines & Services segment is involved in the design, development, manufacturing, and servicing of jet engines for commercial airframes, as well as business aviation and aeroderivative applications. The Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment offers defense engines and critical aircraft systems. The company was founded by Thomas Alva Edison in 1878 and is headquartered in Evendale, OH.