Market Pulse44Neutral

First Bank(FRBA) Intrinsic Value & DCF Analysis (2026)

Current Price

$16.39

Last updated: Jun 23, 2026

Price vs Intrinsic Value

$16.39
Price
$18.00
Intrinsic Value
Undervalued by 10%MOS: $14.40

Fundamental Score

54/100
Neutral

Weighted across 6 signals

Narrative Score

50/100
Weak

No change vs previous

Trend Score

0/100
Unavailable

Trend data unavailable

The intrinsic value of First Bank (FRBA) is estimated at $18.00 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $16.39, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.85% long-term growth rate and a 15.50% discount rate (calculated: 19.19%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

The intrinsic value of First Bank (FRBA) is estimated at $18.00 per share based on a 10-year discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. At the current price of $16.39, the stock appears undervalued relative to its projected cash flow fundamentals. This estimate assumes a 9.85% long-term growth rate and a 15.50% discount rate (calculated: 19.19%), reflecting expected future free cash flow and cost of capital.

Valuation Details

$18.00
9.82% upside
20% margin of safety: $14.40
Years: 10Growth Rate: 9.85%
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Capital Efficiency

Average Quarterly ROIC
2.66%
Cost of Capital (estimated)11%
Value StatusUnderperforming Capital

The company is earning below its required return. This may indicate inefficient use of capital or excess cash that isn't being reinvested.

Complete historical ROIC is available with
.

Fundamental Details

54/100
NeutralWeighted across 6 signals
DCF Discount
9.8% discount to price
66
FCF Yield
14.3% trailing FCF yield
100
ROIC vs WACC
ROIC 2.7% vs WACC 11.0% (0.2x)
12
Net Debt / FCF
3.7x net debt to FCF
0
Buybacks
Share count growing
30
FCF CAGR (5Y)
18.9% 5Y FCF CAGR
100
Strengths: FCF Yield, FCF CAGR (5Y). Concerns: ROIC vs WACC, Net Debt / FCF.

Narrative Details

50/100
Weak
Vs 6-Month Baseline:Below Avg (28th pct)Weighted across 2 recent drivers
Trend: StableConfidence: 55%Updated: 4h ago
Sources: 10 (7 News · 3 Analyst)
Drivers(last 30 days)
7 news sentiment+0.0
3 analyst reiterations0.0

Trend Details

0/100
NeutralRules-based daily model
Trend score unavailable for this ticker right now.

Investment Coach

Updating... 12d ago
BUYConfidence: 54%
Thesis
First Bank (FRBA) is attractively valued with an estimated fair value 25.3% above its current price and a healthy free cash flow yield of 14.3%. Although returns currently trail the cost of capital, fundamentals remain constructive with a neutral score of 59 and stable narrative trends.
Key Risk
The key risk is that the return on invested capital remains significantly below the weighted average cost of capital, potentially undermining value creation.
Signals To Watch
  • Monitor whether valuation discount remains above 10%.
  • Track ROIC versus WACC spread for sustained improvement.
  • Follow narrative trend for meaningful shifts in the score direction.
Ask the Coach - Available with
Historical Growth Rates
Free Cash Flow- - -Trend CAGR: 9.85%5 Year CAGR: 15.89%

Free Cash Flow (in millions)

TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015201420132012
$59$68$31$147$39$28$25$17$39$17$10$6$5$6$5

How Intrinziq Estimates Fair Value

Intrinziq estimates First Bank's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on free cash flow trends and a market-based discount rate. The model projects future cash flows over ten years and discounts them using a market return assumption to estimate fair value.

First BankFinancial Services

First Bank offers a comprehensive array of financial products and services tailored for individuals, businesses, and governmental bodies. Its diverse deposit options encompass non-interest and interest-bearing demand accounts, money market and savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and specialized commercial checking solutions. For lending needs, the bank provides commercial and industrial financing; a wide variety of commercial real estate loans, including those for owner-occupied properties, investors, construction projects, and multi-family dwellings; residential real estate loans such as mortgages, first and second lien home equity loans, and revolving credit lines; and consumer loans for vehicles, personal use, and traditional installment plans. Beyond these core offerings, the institution supports modern digital banking through internet and mobile platforms, electronic bill payment, and banking by phone. Additional services include ATM and debit card provision, wire and ACH transfers, remote deposit capture, and robust cash management solutions. As of December 31, 2021, First Bank operated 18 full-service branches situated across various counties in New Jersey (Cinnaminson, Cranbury, Delanco, Denville, Ewing, Flemington, Hamilton, Lawrence, Mercerville, Pennington, Randolph, Somerset, and Williamstown) and Pennsylvania (Doylestown, Trevose, Warminster, and West Chester). Founded in 2007, the company maintains its corporate headquarters in Hamilton, New Jersey.